Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 March 14, 2026
Ceuta II

Ceuta II

11
FT
Utrera

Utrera

We predicted

1-0 37% confidence
View full match details Saturday, March 14 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 1–1

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 37%
Team Context
Ceuta II
Rank#10
Played25
Points36
PPG1.44
Goal Diff-5
L L W L D
Utrera
16#Rank
24Played
23Points
0.96PPG
-12Goal Diff
D W L D L
Most Likely Scores
1-0
13.0%
7.67
1-1
11.8%
8.45
2-0
10.5%
9.56
2-1
9.5%
10.54
Both Teams To Score
YES 48% · 2.1
NO 52% · 1.91
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Ceuta II 50% · 1.99
Draw 33% · 3.03
Utrera 17% · 5.96
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
46%
54%
Over 46% · 2.18 Under 54% · 1.85
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
71%
29%
Over 71% · 1.4 Under 29% · 3.51
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
24%
76%
Over 24% · 4.1 Under 76% · 1.32

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Ceuta II Ceuta II
L L W L D
Utrera Utrera
D W L D L

Key Stats Comparison

Ceuta II
Stat
Utrera
1.6
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.91
#10
League Pos.
#16
36 pts
Points
23 pts
1.44
Points / Game
0.96
-5
Goal Diff.
-12

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Ciudad de Lucena Ciudad de Lucena
28 17 7 4 +34 58
2
Dos Hermanas Dos Hermanas
28 16 4 8 +25 52
3
Linense Linense
28 12 12 4 +18 48
4
Bollullos Bollullos
28 13 9 6 +11 48
5
Atlético Central Atlético Central
29 13 8 8 +5 47
6
Cádiz II Cádiz II
28 12 8 8 +11 44
7
Ceuta II Ceuta II H
29 11 9 9 -4 42
8
San Roque Lepe San Roque Lepe
28 10 11 7 +5 41
9
Pozoblanco Pozoblanco
28 10 10 8 +3 40
10
Conil Conil
28 11 7 10 -2 40
11
Chiclana Chiclana
29 9 10 10 -6 37
12
Sevilla III Sevilla III
28 9 5 14 -5 32
13
Atlético Onubense Atlético Onubense
28 8 8 12 -7 32
14
Córdoba II Córdoba II
28 8 7 13 -5 31
15
Utrera Utrera A
28 8 7 14 -11 30
16
Tomares Tomares
28 7 8 13 -11 29
17
Castilleja Castilleja
29 5 9 16 -32 23
18
Coria CF Coria CF
28 3 7 18 -29 16

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record