Primera División RFEF - Group 1
March 14, 2026
CF Talavera
1–1
FT
Real Avilés
We predicted
1-1
34% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, March 14 2026
Correct prediction!
Predicted
1-1
|
Actual
1–1
Our model correctly predicted the final scoreline.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
34%
Team Context
CF Talavera
Rank#16
Played27
Points29
PPG1.07
Goal Diff-9
D
W
L
W
L
Real Avilés
14#Rank
27Played
32Points
1.19PPG
-8Goal Diff
L
D
D
L
L
Most Likely Scores
1-1
11.4%
8.74
1-0
9.8%
10.18
2-1
9.6%
10.46
CF Talavera 4+
8.6%
Both Teams To Score
YES
56% · 1.79
NO
44% · 2.26
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
CF Talavera
47% · 2.11
Draw
33% · 3.07
Real Avilés
20% · 5.01
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
54%
46%
Over 54% · 1.86
Under 46% · 2.17
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
77%
23%
Over 77% · 1.29
Under 23% · 4.44
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
31%
69%
Over 31% · 3.18
Under 69% · 1.46
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
CF Talavera
D
W
L
W
L
Real Avilés
L
D
D
L
L
Key Stats Comparison
CF Talavera
Stat
Real Avilés
1.67
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.16
#16
League Pos.
#14
29 pts
Points
32 pts
1.07
Points / Game
1.19
-9
Goal Diff.
-8
Head to Head
Full H2H record0 W
2 D
0 W
CF Talavera
Draw
Real Avilés
4
total goals
2
meetings
Last 2 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Tenerife
|
31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | +33 | 65 |
| 2 |
Celta de Vigo II
|
31 | 15 | 9 | 7 | +5 | 54 |
| 3 |
Ponferradina
|
31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | +10 | 47 |
| 4 |
Barakaldo
|
31 | 12 | 11 | 8 | +8 | 47 |
| 5 |
Pontevedra
|
30 | 11 | 13 | 6 | +13 | 46 |
| 6 |
Real Madrid II
|
31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | +5 | 46 |
| 7 |
Zamora
|
31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | +5 | 46 |
| 8 |
Lugo
|
31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | +0 | 45 |
| 9 |
Unionistas de Salamanca
|
31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | +2 | 44 |
| 10 |
Athletic Club II
|
31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | -2 | 44 |
| 11 |
Mérida AD
|
31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 44 |
| 12 |
Racing Ferrol
|
31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | -1 | 42 |
| 13 |
Arenas Getxo
|
30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | -5 | 41 |
| 14 |
Real Avilés
A
|
31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | -8 | 37 |
| 15 |
CF Talavera
H
|
31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | -8 | 35 |
| 16 |
Guadalajara
|
31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | -11 | 35 |
| 17 |
Ourense CF
|
31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 34 |
| 18 |
Cacereño
|
31 | 6 | 13 | 12 | -12 | 31 |
| 19 |
Osasuna II
|
31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | -14 | 30 |
| 20 |
Arenteiro
|
31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -14 | 26 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.