Serie A Serie A March 16, 2026
Chapecoense-sc

Chapecoense-sc

11
FT
Gremio

Gremio

We predicted

Chapecoense-sc 4+ 57% confidence
View full match details Monday, March 16 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted Chapecoense-sc 4+
|
Actual 1–1

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

medium confidence
Prediction Reliability 57%
Team Context
Chapecoense-sc
Rank#
Played
Points
PPG
Goal Diff
Gremio
9#Rank
38Played
49Points
1.29PPG
-3Goal Diff
W L W L W
Most Likely Scores
Chapecoense-sc 4+
41.3%
3-1
8.5%
11.75
3-0
8.4%
11.95
2-1
7.4%
13.53
Both Teams To Score
YES 62% · 1.62
NO 38% · 2.61
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Chapecoense-sc 53% · 1.89
Draw 25% · 4.06
Gremio 23% · 4.44
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
81%
19%
Over 81% · 1.23 Under 19% · 5.32
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
93%
Over 93% · 1.07 Under 7% · 15.04
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
63%
37%
Over 63% · 1.59 Under 37% · 2.71

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc
No form data available
Gremio Gremio
W L W L W

Key Stats Comparison

Chapecoense-sc
Stat
Gremio
3.46
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.02
League Pos.
#9
– pts
Points
49 pts
Points / Game
1.29
+
Goal Diff.
-3

Head to Head

Full H2H record
1 W
2 D
2 W
Chapecoense-sc
Draw
Gremio
10 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Palmeiras Palmeiras
9 7 1 1 +10 22
2
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
10 6 2 2 +8 20
3
Fluminense Fluminense
10 6 2 2 +6 20
4
Flamengo Flamengo
9 5 2 2 +7 17
5
Bahia Bahia
8 5 2 1 +5 17
6
Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense
10 5 1 4 +2 16
7
Coritiba Coritiba
10 4 3 3 +1 15
8
Atletico-MG Atletico-MG
10 4 2 4 +2 14
9
Botafogo Botafogo
9 4 0 5 -3 12
10
Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama
10 3 3 4 -1 12
11
Gremio Gremio A
9 3 2 4 +0 11
12
RB Bragantino RB Bragantino
9 3 2 4 -1 11
13
Vitoria Vitoria
9 3 2 4 -5 11
14
Corinthians Corinthians
9 2 4 3 -2 10
15
Santos Santos
10 2 4 4 -3 10
16
Internacional Internacional
9 2 3 4 -2 9
17
Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc H
9 1 5 3 -6 8
18
Cruzeiro Cruzeiro
10 1 4 5 -8 7
19
Mirassol Mirassol
8 1 3 4 -3 6
20
Remo Remo
9 1 3 5 -7 6

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record