Premier League
February 10, 2026
Chelsea
2–2
FT
Leeds
We predicted
1-1
28% confidence
View full match details
Tuesday, February 10 2026
Prediction vs. Reality
Predicted
1-1
|
Actual
2–2
We predicted the correct result direction (draw), though the exact score differed.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
28%
Team Context
Chelsea
Rank#5
Played25
Points43
PPG1.72
Goal Diff17
W
W
W
W
L
Leeds
16#Rank
25Played
29Points
1.16PPG
-9Goal Diff
W
L
D
W
L
Most Likely Scores
1-1
11.1%
9.04
2-1
9.0%
11.14
1-0
7.9%
12.67
1-2
7.8%
12.89
Both Teams To Score
YES
61% · 1.65
NO
39% · 2.53
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Chelsea
43% · 2.34
Draw
24% · 4.15
Leeds
33% · 3.01
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
58%
42%
Over 58% · 1.72
Under 42% · 2.39
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
80%
20%
Over 80% · 1.24
Under 20% · 5.12
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
36%
64%
Over 36% · 2.8
Under 64% · 1.56
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Chelsea
W
W
W
W
L
Leeds
W
L
D
W
L
Key Stats Comparison
Chelsea
Stat
Leeds
1.62
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.4
#5
League Pos.
#16
43 pts
Points
29 pts
1.72
Points / Game
1.16
+17
Goal Diff.
-9
Head to Head
Full H2H record2 W
1 D
2 W
Chelsea
Draw
Leeds
15
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Arsenal
|
31 | 21 | 7 | 3 | +39 | 70 |
| 2 |
Manchester City
|
30 | 18 | 7 | 5 | +32 | 61 |
| 3 |
Manchester United
|
31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | +13 | 55 |
| 4 |
Aston Villa
|
31 | 16 | 6 | 9 | +5 | 54 |
| 5 |
Liverpool
|
31 | 14 | 7 | 10 | +8 | 49 |
| 6 |
Chelsea
H
|
31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | +15 | 48 |
| 7 |
Brentford
|
31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | +4 | 46 |
| 8 |
Everton
|
31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | +2 | 46 |
| 9 |
Fulham
|
31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | -1 | 44 |
| 10 |
Brighton
|
31 | 11 | 10 | 10 | +4 | 43 |
| 11 |
Sunderland
|
31 | 11 | 10 | 10 | -4 | 43 |
| 12 |
Newcastle
|
31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | -1 | 42 |
| 13 |
Bournemouth
|
31 | 9 | 15 | 7 | -2 | 42 |
| 14 |
Crystal Palace
|
30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 39 |
| 15 |
Leeds
A
|
31 | 7 | 12 | 12 | -11 | 33 |
| 16 |
Nottingham Forest
|
31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | -12 | 32 |
| 17 |
Tottenham
|
31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | -10 | 30 |
| 18 |
West Ham
|
31 | 7 | 8 | 16 | -21 | 29 |
| 19 |
Burnley
|
31 | 4 | 8 | 19 | -28 | 20 |
| 20 |
Wolves
|
31 | 3 | 8 | 20 | -30 | 17 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.