First League
April 3, 2026
Chelyabinsk
1–1
FT
Chernomorets
We predicted
1-1
36% confidence
View full match details
Friday, April 3 2026
Correct prediction!
Predicted
1-1
|
Actual
1–1
Our model correctly predicted the final scoreline.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
36%
Team Context
Chelyabinsk
Rank#7
Played26
Points37
PPG1.42
Goal Diff6
L
L
D
D
W
Chernomorets
15#Rank
26Played
28Points
1.08PPG
-6Goal Diff
L
L
D
W
L
Most Likely Scores
1-1
11.3%
8.82
1-0
10.4%
9.66
2-1
9.7%
10.3
Chelyabinsk 4+
9.2%
Both Teams To Score
YES
55% · 1.83
NO
45% · 2.2
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Chelyabinsk
49% · 2.04
Draw
32% · 3.09
Chernomorets
19% · 5.38
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
53%
47%
Over 53% · 1.88
Under 47% · 2.13
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
77%
23%
Over 77% · 1.3
Under 23% · 4.35
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
31%
69%
Over 31% · 3.24
Under 69% · 1.45
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Chelyabinsk
L
L
D
D
W
Chernomorets
L
L
D
W
L
Key Stats Comparison
Chelyabinsk
Stat
Chernomorets
1.71
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.1
#7
League Pos.
#15
37 pts
Points
28 pts
1.42
Points / Game
1.08
+6
Goal Diff.
-6
Head to Head
Full H2H record0 W
1 D
0 W
Chelyabinsk
Draw
Chernomorets
2
total goals
1
meetings
Last 1 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Fakel
|
26 | 17 | 5 | 4 | +20 | 56 |
| 2 |
Rodina Moskva
|
26 | 13 | 10 | 3 | +20 | 49 |
| 3 |
Ural
|
26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | +9 | 45 |
| 4 |
Spartak Kostroma
|
27 | 10 | 11 | 6 | +6 | 41 |
| 5 |
Rotor Volgograd
|
26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | +11 | 39 |
| 6 |
KAMAZ
|
27 | 9 | 12 | 6 | +13 | 39 |
| 7 |
Chelyabinsk
H
|
27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | +6 | 38 |
| 8 |
FK Neftekhimik
|
26 | 8 | 11 | 7 | +1 | 35 |
| 9 |
Arsenal Tula
|
26 | 8 | 11 | 7 | +5 | 35 |
| 10 |
Ska-khabarovsk
|
27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | -6 | 34 |
| 11 |
Enisey
|
27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | -8 | 34 |
| 12 |
Torpedo Moskva
|
26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 33 |
| 13 |
Shinnik Yaroslavl
|
27 | 7 | 12 | 8 | -1 | 33 |
| 14 |
Volga Ulyanovsk
|
27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | -9 | 31 |
| 15 |
Chernomorets
A
|
27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | -6 | 29 |
| 16 |
FC UFA
|
26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | -6 | 26 |
| 17 |
Chayka
|
26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | -29 | 19 |
| 18 |
FK Sokol Saratov
|
26 | 2 | 10 | 14 | -21 | 16 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.