First League First League February 7, 2026
Cherno More Varna

Cherno More Varna

00
FT
Spartak Varna

Spartak Varna

We predicted

1-0 29% confidence
View full match details Saturday, February 7 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 0–0

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

very_low confidence
Prediction Reliability 29%
Team Context
Cherno More Varna
Rank#5
Played19
Points33
PPG1.74
Goal Diff11
W W L L W
Spartak Varna
12#Rank
19Played
17Points
0.89PPG
-12Goal Diff
L L L D L
Most Likely Scores
1-0
14.0%
7.16
2-0
11.8%
8.45
1-1
11.2%
8.91
2-1
9.5%
10.52
Both Teams To Score
YES 45% · 2.22
NO 55% · 1.82
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Cherno More Varna 59% · 1.71
Draw 24% · 4.18
Spartak Varna 18% · 5.69
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
45%
55%
Over 45% · 2.2 Under 55% · 1.83
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
71%
29%
Over 71% · 1.4 Under 29% · 3.47
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
24%
76%
Over 24% · 4.15 Under 76% · 1.32

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna
W W L L W
Spartak Varna Spartak Varna
L L L D L

Key Stats Comparison

Cherno More Varna
Stat
Spartak Varna
1.7
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.8
#5
League Pos.
#12
33 pts
Points
17 pts
1.74
Points / Game
0.89
+11
Goal Diff.
-12

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Levski Sofia Levski Sofia
28 21 3 4 +41 66
2
Ludogorets Ludogorets
28 17 8 3 +38 59
3
CSKA 1948 CSKA 1948
28 16 5 7 +14 53
4
CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia
28 15 7 6 +19 52
5
Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv
28 11 11 6 -3 44
6
Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna H
28 11 10 7 +11 43
7
Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali
28 11 8 9 +6 41
8
Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia
28 10 8 10 +4 38
9
Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv
28 10 6 12 +0 36
10
Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa
28 8 11 9 -2 35
11
Lokomotiv Sofia Lokomotiv Sofia
28 8 10 10 +1 34
12
Dobrudzha Dobrudzha
28 7 5 16 -16 26
13
Spartak Varna Spartak Varna A
28 4 11 13 -26 23
14
Beroe Beroe
28 4 10 14 -24 22
15
Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia
28 6 4 18 -34 22
16
Montana Montana
28 3 7 18 -29 16

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record