League Two League Two April 3, 2026
Chesterfield

Chesterfield

10
FT
Cheltenham

Cheltenham

We predicted

Chesterfield 4+ 37% confidence
View full match details Friday, April 3 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted Chesterfield 4+
|
Actual 1–0

We predicted the correct result direction (home), though fewer than 4 goals were scored.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 37%
Team Context
Chesterfield
Rank#9
Played39
Points62
PPG1.59
Goal Diff9
W L W L W
Cheltenham
18#Rank
38Played
42Points
1.11PPG
-22Goal Diff
L D W D D
Most Likely Scores
Chesterfield 4+
11.3%
1-1
10.7%
9.36
1-0
10.0%
9.98
2-1
9.9%
10.09
Both Teams To Score
YES 55% · 1.81
NO 45% · 2.24
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Chesterfield 51% · 1.94
Draw 32% · 3.16
Cheltenham 17% · 5.9
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
56%
44%
Over 56% · 1.79 Under 44% · 2.26
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
79%
21%
Over 79% · 1.27 Under 21% · 4.72
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
33%
67%
Over 33% · 3.0 Under 67% · 1.5

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Chesterfield Chesterfield
W L W L W
Cheltenham Cheltenham
L D W D D

Key Stats Comparison

Chesterfield
Stat
Cheltenham
1.86
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.07
#9
League Pos.
#18
62 pts
Points
42 pts
1.59
Points / Game
1.11
+9
Goal Diff.
-22

Head to Head

Full H2H record
2 W
2 D
1 W
Chesterfield
Draw
Cheltenham
8 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Bromley Bromley
41 22 14 5 +25 80
2
Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons
41 21 12 8 +35 75
3
Cambridge United Cambridge United
40 20 13 7 +27 73
4
Notts County Notts County
41 22 7 12 +24 73
5
Salford City Salford City
41 23 4 14 +8 73
6
Swindon Town Swindon Town
41 21 8 12 +18 71
7
Chesterfield Chesterfield H
40 17 14 9 +10 65
8
Oldham Oldham
40 17 13 10 +17 64
9
Crewe Crewe
41 18 9 14 +10 63
10
Grimsby Grimsby
39 17 11 11 +14 62
11
Walsall Walsall
41 17 11 13 +7 62
12
Barnet Barnet
41 16 13 12 +7 61
13
Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town
41 14 13 14 +1 55
14
Colchester Colchester
40 14 12 14 +7 54
15
Accrington ST Accrington ST
40 14 9 17 -4 51
16
Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers
41 15 4 22 -17 49
17
Gillingham Gillingham
40 11 13 16 -14 46
18
Shrewsbury Shrewsbury
41 12 8 21 -26 44
19
Cheltenham Cheltenham A
39 11 9 19 -23 42
20
Crawley Town Crawley Town
41 8 13 20 -20 37
21
Tranmere Tranmere
40 9 9 22 -22 36
22
Newport County Newport County
41 9 7 25 -29 34
23
Barrow Barrow
40 8 9 23 -26 33
24
Harrogate Town Harrogate Town
41 8 9 24 -29 33

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record