Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 March 21, 2026
Churriana Vega

Churriana Vega

21
FT
UD Melilla II

UD Melilla II

We predicted

1-0 40% confidence
View full match details Saturday, March 21 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 2–1

We predicted the correct result direction (home win), though the exact score differed.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 40%
Team Context
Churriana Vega
Rank#6
Played26
Points40
PPG1.54
Goal Diff-5
L D W W L
UD Melilla II
12#Rank
25Played
30Points
1.2PPG
-2Goal Diff
D L D D D
Most Likely Scores
1-0
17.5%
5.7
0-0
14.9%
6.7
1-1
12.8%
7.84
0-1
10.9%
9.22
Both Teams To Score
YES 36% · 2.8
NO 64% · 1.55
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Churriana Vega 46% · 2.18
Draw 36% · 2.75
UD Melilla II 18% · 5.66
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
30%
70%
Over 30% · 3.37 Under 70% · 1.42
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
57%
43%
Over 57% · 1.76 Under 43% · 2.31
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
87%
Over 13% · 7.97 Under 87% · 1.14

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Churriana Vega Churriana Vega
L D W W L
UD Melilla II UD Melilla II
D L D D D

Key Stats Comparison

Churriana Vega
Stat
UD Melilla II
1.18
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.73
#6
League Pos.
#12
40 pts
Points
30 pts
1.54
Points / Game
1.2
-5
Goal Diff.
-2

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Motril Motril
29 15 10 4 +23 55
2
Mijas Las Lagunas Mijas Las Lagunas
29 16 7 6 +15 55
3
Arenas Armilla Arenas Armilla
29 14 8 7 +11 50
4
Torre del Mar Torre del Mar
29 13 11 5 +12 50
5
Churriana Vega Churriana Vega H
29 12 8 9 -7 44
6
Marbelli Marbelli
29 11 8 10 +5 41
7
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
29 10 11 8 -1 41
8
Atlético Porcuna Atlético Porcuna
29 12 4 13 +5 40
9
Huétor Vega Huétor Vega
29 11 7 11 +1 40
10
Granada II Granada II
29 9 11 9 +2 38
11
UD San Pedro UD San Pedro
29 10 8 11 -2 38
12
UD Melilla II UD Melilla II A
29 8 11 10 +0 35
13
Alhaurino Alhaurino
29 8 9 12 -6 33
14
Martos Martos
29 8 9 12 -7 33
15
Mancha Real Mancha Real
29 8 8 13 -7 32
16
Huétor Tájar Huétor Tájar
29 8 10 12 -4 31
17
Torreperogil Torreperogil
29 7 6 16 -17 27
18
El Palo El Palo
29 5 8 16 -23 23

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record