Serie A
August 16, 2026
Corinthians
20:00
VS
Cruzeiro
Predicted score
1-0
46% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, August 16 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
46%
Team Context
Corinthians
Rank#3
Played4
Points7
PPG1.75
Goal Diff2
D
W
W
L
Cruzeiro
19#Rank
4Played
2Points
0.5PPG
-5Goal Diff
D
D
L
L
Most Likely Scores
1-0
19.1%
5.25
2-0
17.1%
5.85
0-0
10.6%
9.42
Corinthians 4+
10.5%
Both Teams To Score
YES
30% · 3.31
NO
70% · 1.43
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Corinthians
60% · 1.66
Draw
31% · 3.26
Cruzeiro
9% · 10.89
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
39%
61%
Over 39% · 2.58
Under 61% · 1.63
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
66%
34%
Over 66% · 1.53
Under 34% · 2.9
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
19%
81%
Over 19% · 5.33
Under 81% · 1.23
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Corinthians
D
W
W
L
Cruzeiro
D
D
L
L
Key Stats Comparison
Corinthians
Stat
Cruzeiro
1.79
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.45
#3
League Pos.
#19
7 pts
Points
2 pts
1.75
Points / Game
0.5
+2
Goal Diff.
-5
Head to Head
Full H2H record1 W
2 D
2 W
Corinthians
Draw
Cruzeiro
9
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Palmeiras
|
9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | +10 | 22 |
| 2 |
Sao Paulo
|
10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +8 | 20 |
| 3 |
Fluminense
|
10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +6 | 20 |
| 4 |
Bahia
|
8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 17 |
| 5 |
Atletico Paranaense
|
9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 16 |
| 6 |
Coritiba
|
10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 15 |
| 7 |
Flamengo
|
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +5 | 14 |
| 8 |
Botafogo
|
9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | -3 | 12 |
| 9 |
Vasco DA Gama
|
10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 12 |
| 10 |
Atletico-MG
|
9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 11 |
| 11 |
Gremio
|
9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | +0 | 11 |
| 12 |
RB Bragantino
|
9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 11 |
| 13 |
Vitoria
|
8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 10 |
| 14 |
Santos
|
9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 10 |
| 15 |
Corinthians
H
|
9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 10 |
| 16 |
Internacional
|
9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 9 |
| 17 |
Chapecoense-sc
|
8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -6 | 7 |
| 18 |
Cruzeiro
A
|
10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -8 | 7 |
| 19 |
Mirassol
|
8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 6 |
| 20 |
Remo
|
9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 6 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.