Serie A Serie A May 10, 2026
Corinthians

Corinthians

21:30
VS
Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo

Predicted score

1-0 38% confidence
View full match details Sunday, May 10 2026

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 38%
Team Context
Corinthians
Rank#13
Played38
Points47
PPG1.24
Goal Diff-5
D L D L W
Sao Paulo
8#Rank
38Played
51Points
1.34PPG
-4Goal Diff
L W L W L
Most Likely Scores
1-0
16.1%
6.21
2-0
14.9%
6.72
Corinthians 4+
11.4%
1-1
9.6%
10.43
Both Teams To Score
YES 38% · 2.65
NO 62% · 1.61
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Corinthians 44% · 2.25
Draw 31% · 3.25
Sao Paulo 25% · 4.04
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
44%
56%
Over 44% · 2.27 Under 56% · 1.79
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
70%
30%
Over 70% · 1.43 Under 30% · 3.33
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
23%
77%
Over 23% · 4.39 Under 77% · 1.3

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Corinthians Corinthians
D L D L W
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
L W L W L

Key Stats Comparison

Corinthians
Stat
Sao Paulo
1.85
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.6
#13
League Pos.
#8
47 pts
Points
51 pts
1.24
Points / Game
1.34
-5
Goal Diff.
-4

Head to Head

Full H2H record
1 W
1 D
3 W
Corinthians
Draw
Sao Paulo
16 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Palmeiras Palmeiras
9 7 1 1 +10 22
2
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo A
10 6 2 2 +8 20
3
Fluminense Fluminense
10 6 2 2 +6 20
4
Bahia Bahia
8 5 2 1 +5 17
5
Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense
9 5 1 3 +3 16
6
Coritiba Coritiba
10 4 3 3 +1 15
7
Flamengo Flamengo
8 4 2 2 +5 14
8
Botafogo Botafogo
9 4 0 5 -3 12
9
Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama
10 3 3 4 -1 12
10
Atletico-MG Atletico-MG
9 3 2 4 +1 11
11
Gremio Gremio
9 3 2 4 +0 11
12
RB Bragantino RB Bragantino
9 3 2 4 -1 11
13
Vitoria Vitoria
8 3 1 4 -5 10
14
Santos Santos
9 2 4 3 -1 10
15
Corinthians Corinthians H
9 2 4 3 -2 10
16
Internacional Internacional
9 2 3 4 -2 9
17
Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc
8 1 4 3 -6 7
18
Cruzeiro Cruzeiro
10 1 4 5 -8 7
19
Mirassol Mirassol
8 1 3 4 -3 6
20
Remo Remo
9 1 3 5 -7 6

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record