Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 March 28, 2026
Covadonga

Covadonga

61
FT
Ceares

Ceares

We predicted

1-0 37% confidence
View full match details Saturday, March 28 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 6–1

We predicted the correct result direction (home win), though the exact score differed.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 37%
Team Context
Covadonga
Rank#2
Played27
Points62
PPG2.3
Goal Diff46
L W L W W
Ceares
8#Rank
27Played
36Points
1.33PPG
2Goal Diff
L L W W D
Most Likely Scores
1-0
13.1%
7.63
2-0
11.6%
8.63
1-1
11.0%
9.13
Covadonga 4+
10.1%
Both Teams To Score
YES 47% · 2.13
NO 53% · 1.89
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Covadonga 54% · 1.86
Draw 32% · 3.14
Ceares 14% · 6.92
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
48%
52%
Over 48% · 2.08 Under 52% · 1.93
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
73%
27%
Over 73% · 1.36 Under 27% · 3.75
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
26%
74%
Over 26% · 3.8 Under 74% · 1.36

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Covadonga Covadonga
L W L W W
Ceares Ceares
L L W W D

Key Stats Comparison

Covadonga
Stat
Ceares
1.77
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.84
#2
League Pos.
#8
62 pts
Points
36 pts
2.3
Points / Game
1.33
+46
Goal Diff.
+2

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record