Liga MX Liga MX February 22, 2026
Cruz Azul

Cruz Azul

21
FT
Guadalajara Chivas

Guadalajara Chivas

We predicted

1-1 29% confidence
View full match details Sunday, February 22 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 2–1

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

very_low confidence
Prediction Reliability 29%
Team Context
Cruz Azul
Rank#3
Played6
Points13
PPG2.17
Goal Diff4
W D W W W
Guadalajara Chivas
1#Rank
6Played
18Points
3.0PPG
7Goal Diff
W W W W W
Most Likely Scores
1-1
13.1%
7.63
0-1
12.0%
8.36
1-0
10.4%
9.61
0-0
9.5%
10.53
Both Teams To Score
YES 48% · 2.1
NO 52% · 1.91
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Cruz Azul 32% · 3.12
Draw 28% · 3.59
Guadalajara Chivas 40% · 2.5
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
42%
58%
Over 42% · 2.39 Under 58% · 1.72
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
68%
32%
Over 68% · 1.47 Under 32% · 3.14
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
21%
79%
Over 21% · 4.73 Under 79% · 1.27

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Cruz Azul Cruz Azul
W D W W W
Guadalajara Chivas Guadalajara Chivas
W W W W W

Key Stats Comparison

Cruz Azul
Stat
Guadalajara Chivas
1.1
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.26
#3
League Pos.
#1
13 pts
Points
18 pts
2.17
Points / Game
3.0
+4
Goal Diff.
+7

Head to Head

Full H2H record
3 W
1 D
0 W
Cruz Azul
Draw
Guadalajara Chivas
11 total goals
4 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Guadalajara Chivas Guadalajara Chivas A
13 10 1 2 +14 31
2
Cruz Azul Cruz Azul H
13 8 3 2 +10 27
3
Toluca Toluca
13 7 5 1 +11 26
4
Pachuca Pachuca
13 7 4 2 +6 25
5
U.N.A.M. - Pumas U.N.A.M. - Pumas
13 6 6 1 +9 24
6
Club America Club America
13 5 3 5 +2 18
7
Atlas Atlas
13 5 3 5 -4 18
8
Tigres UANL Tigres UANL
13 5 2 6 +3 17
9
Necaxa Necaxa
13 5 1 7 -1 16
10
FC Juarez FC Juarez
13 4 4 5 -2 16
11
Leon Leon
13 5 1 7 -9 16
12
Club Tijuana Club Tijuana
13 3 6 4 -1 15
13
Monterrey Monterrey
13 4 2 7 +2 14
14
Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis
13 4 2 7 -2 14
15
Puebla Puebla
13 3 4 6 -5 13
16
Club Queretaro Club Queretaro
13 2 6 5 -7 12
17
Mazatlán Mazatlán
13 3 2 8 -10 11
18
Santos Laguna Santos Laguna
13 2 3 8 -16 9

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record