Serie A
May 3, 2026
Cruzeiro
00:00
VS
Atletico-MG
Predicted score
1-0
44% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, May 3 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
44%
Team Context
Cruzeiro
Rank#3
Played38
Points70
PPG1.84
Goal Diff24
L
D
D
W
D
Atletico-MG
11#Rank
38Played
48Points
1.26PPG
-1Goal Diff
W
L
L
D
L
Most Likely Scores
1-0
21.4%
4.68
2-0
17.7%
5.66
0-0
12.9%
7.75
3-0
9.8%
10.26
Both Teams To Score
YES
26% · 3.8
NO
74% · 1.36
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Cruzeiro
59% · 1.69
Draw
32% · 3.16
Atletico-MG
9% · 11.11
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
34%
66%
Over 34% · 2.98
Under 66% · 1.51
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
61%
39%
Over 61% · 1.65
Under 39% · 2.54
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
85%
Over 15% · 6.64
Under 85% · 1.18
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Cruzeiro
L
D
D
W
D
Atletico-MG
W
L
L
D
L
Key Stats Comparison
Cruzeiro
Stat
Atletico-MG
1.66
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.39
#3
League Pos.
#11
70 pts
Points
48 pts
1.84
Points / Game
1.26
+24
Goal Diff.
-1
Head to Head
Full H2H record3 W
1 D
1 W
Cruzeiro
Draw
Atletico-MG
10
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Palmeiras
|
9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | +10 | 22 |
| 2 |
Sao Paulo
|
10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +8 | 20 |
| 3 |
Fluminense
|
10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +6 | 20 |
| 4 |
Flamengo
|
9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 17 |
| 5 |
Bahia
|
8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 17 |
| 6 |
Atletico Paranaense
|
10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | +2 | 16 |
| 7 |
Coritiba
|
10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 15 |
| 8 |
Atletico-MG
A
|
10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 14 |
| 9 |
Botafogo
|
9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | -3 | 12 |
| 10 |
Vasco DA Gama
|
10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 12 |
| 11 |
Gremio
|
9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | +0 | 11 |
| 12 |
RB Bragantino
|
9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 11 |
| 13 |
Vitoria
|
9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 11 |
| 14 |
Corinthians
|
9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 10 |
| 15 |
Santos
|
10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -3 | 10 |
| 16 |
Internacional
|
9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 9 |
| 17 |
Chapecoense-sc
|
9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -6 | 8 |
| 18 |
Cruzeiro
H
|
10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -8 | 7 |
| 19 |
Mirassol
|
8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 6 |
| 20 |
Remo
|
9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 6 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.