Serie A
April 18, 2026
Cruzeiro
23:30
VS
Gremio
Predicted score
Cruzeiro 4+
43% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, April 18 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
43%
Team Context
Cruzeiro
Rank#3
Played38
Points70
PPG1.84
Goal Diff24
L
D
D
W
D
Gremio
9#Rank
38Played
49Points
1.29PPG
-3Goal Diff
W
L
W
L
W
Most Likely Scores
Cruzeiro 4+
19.0%
2-0
15.8%
6.33
1-0
13.8%
7.23
3-0
12.0%
8.31
Both Teams To Score
YES
37% · 2.71
NO
63% · 1.58
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Cruzeiro
64% · 1.56
Draw
28% · 3.63
Gremio
8% · 12.15
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
53%
47%
Over 53% · 1.89
Under 47% · 2.12
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
77%
23%
Over 77% · 1.3
Under 23% · 4.33
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
30%
70%
Over 30% · 3.28
Under 70% · 1.44
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Cruzeiro
L
D
D
W
D
Gremio
W
L
W
L
W
Key Stats Comparison
Cruzeiro
Stat
Gremio
2.28
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.53
#3
League Pos.
#9
70 pts
Points
49 pts
1.84
Points / Game
1.29
+24
Goal Diff.
-3
Head to Head
Full H2H record3 W
1 D
1 W
Cruzeiro
Draw
Gremio
13
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Palmeiras
|
9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | +10 | 22 |
| 2 |
Sao Paulo
|
10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +8 | 20 |
| 3 |
Fluminense
|
10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +6 | 20 |
| 4 |
Bahia
|
8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 17 |
| 5 |
Atletico Paranaense
|
9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 16 |
| 6 |
Coritiba
|
10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 15 |
| 7 |
Flamengo
|
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +5 | 14 |
| 8 |
Botafogo
|
9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | -3 | 12 |
| 9 |
Vasco DA Gama
|
10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 12 |
| 10 |
Atletico-MG
|
9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 11 |
| 11 |
Gremio
A
|
9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | +0 | 11 |
| 12 |
RB Bragantino
|
9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 11 |
| 13 |
Vitoria
|
8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 10 |
| 14 |
Santos
|
9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 10 |
| 15 |
Corinthians
|
9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 10 |
| 16 |
Internacional
|
9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 9 |
| 17 |
Chapecoense-sc
|
8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -6 | 7 |
| 18 |
Cruzeiro
H
|
10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -8 | 7 |
| 19 |
Mirassol
|
8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 6 |
| 20 |
Remo
|
9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 6 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.