Eerste Divisie Eerste Divisie March 14, 2026
De Graafschap

De Graafschap

21
FT
Dordrecht

Dordrecht

We predicted

De Graafschap 4+ 36% confidence
View full match details Saturday, March 14 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted De Graafschap 4+
|
Actual 2–1

We predicted the correct result direction (home), though fewer than 4 goals were scored.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 36%
Team Context
De Graafschap
Rank#4
Played30
Points49
PPG1.63
Goal Diff8
L D W W W
Dordrecht
9#Rank
30Played
42Points
1.4PPG
1Goal Diff
D D L W W
Most Likely Scores
De Graafschap 4+
11.1%
1-1
10.7%
9.39
2-1
9.8%
10.19
1-0
9.2%
10.87
Both Teams To Score
YES 58% · 1.73
NO 42% · 2.36
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
De Graafschap 53% · 1.88
Draw 23% · 4.37
Dordrecht 24% · 4.19
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
58%
42%
Over 58% · 1.74 Under 42% · 2.36
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
80%
20%
Over 80% · 1.25 Under 20% · 5.0
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
35%
65%
Over 35% · 2.85 Under 65% · 1.54

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

De Graafschap De Graafschap
L D W W W
Dordrecht Dordrecht
D D L W W

Key Stats Comparison

De Graafschap
Stat
Dordrecht
1.84
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.16
#4
League Pos.
#9
49 pts
Points
42 pts
1.63
Points / Game
1.4
+8
Goal Diff.
+1

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag
34 26 2 6 +44 80
2
Cambuur Cambuur
34 22 7 5 +28 73
3
Willem II Willem II
34 16 8 10 +11 56
4
De Graafschap De Graafschap H
34 16 8 10 +10 56
5
Almere City FC Almere City FC
34 17 4 13 +16 55
6
Waalwijk Waalwijk
34 14 9 11 +8 51
7
Roda Roda
34 13 12 9 +6 51
8
Jong PSV U21 Jong PSV U21
34 15 5 14 +3 50
9
Den Bosch Den Bosch
33 13 7 13 -1 46
10
FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven
34 13 5 16 -10 44
11
Dordrecht Dordrecht A
34 11 10 13 -5 43
12
VVV Venlo VVV Venlo
34 12 5 17 -7 41
13
Jong Utrecht Jong Utrecht
33 10 9 14 -4 39
14
Emmen Emmen
34 10 8 16 -11 38
15
Vitesse Vitesse
34 13 10 11 +2 37
16
Jong AZ Jong AZ
34 11 4 19 -7 37
17
MVV MVV
34 9 9 16 -29 36
18
Helmond Sport Helmond Sport
34 9 7 18 -21 34
19
Jong Ajax Jong Ajax
34 8 8 18 -16 32
20
FC OSS FC OSS
34 7 11 16 -17 32

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record