Eerste Divisie Eerste Divisie January 23, 2026
De Graafschap

De Graafschap

24
FT
Waalwijk

Waalwijk

We predicted

De Graafschap 4+ 31% confidence
View full match details Friday, January 23 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted De Graafschap 4+
|
Actual 2–4

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 31%
Most Likely Scores
De Graafschap 4+
21.5%
Waalwijk 4+
17.1%
2-2
6.8%
14.81
3-2
5.9%
17.04
Both Teams To Score
YES 84% · 1.19
NO 16% · 6.22
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
De Graafschap 44% · 2.27
Draw 19% · 5.32
Waalwijk 37% · 2.7
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
87%
Over 87% · 1.15 Under 13% · 7.78
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
96%
Over 96% · 1.04 Under 4% · 23.98
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
73%
27%
Over 73% · 1.38 Under 27% · 3.66

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Key Stats Comparison

De Graafschap
Stat
Waalwijk
2.61
Exp. Goals (xG)
2.39

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag
36 27 2 7 +47 83
2
Cambuur Cambuur
36 22 9 5 +28 75
3
Willem II Willem II
36 18 8 10 +13 62
4
De Graafschap De Graafschap H
36 17 9 10 +15 60
5
Almere City FC Almere City FC
36 17 4 15 +14 55
6
Waalwijk Waalwijk A
36 15 10 11 +13 55
7
Roda Roda
36 14 12 10 +7 54
8
Jong PSV U21 Jong PSV U21
35 16 5 14 +4 53
9
Den Bosch Den Bosch
35 14 8 13 +0 50
10
Dordrecht Dordrecht
36 12 11 13 -4 47
11
FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven
36 13 5 18 -16 44
12
VVV Venlo VVV Venlo
36 12 6 18 -8 42
13
Emmen Emmen
36 11 8 17 -15 41
14
Vitesse Vitesse
35 14 10 11 +7 40
15
Jong Utrecht Jong Utrecht
34 10 9 15 -6 39
16
Jong AZ Jong AZ
35 11 4 20 -12 37
17
MVV MVV
36 9 10 17 -30 37
18
Helmond Sport Helmond Sport
36 9 9 18 -21 36
19
FC OSS FC OSS
35 8 11 16 -15 35
20
Jong Ajax Jong Ajax
35 8 8 19 -21 32

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record