Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 April 1, 2026
Deportivo Alavés III

Deportivo Alavés III

11
FT
Aurrerá Vitoria

Aurrerá Vitoria

We predicted

1-0 34% confidence
View full match details Wednesday, April 1 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 1–1

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 34%
Team Context
Deportivo Alavés III
Rank#8
Played28
Points43
PPG1.54
Goal Diff13
D W L W L
Aurrerá Vitoria
6#Rank
28Played
46Points
1.64PPG
3Goal Diff
L L W W W
Most Likely Scores
1-0
11.1%
8.98
Deportivo Alavés III 4+
11.0%
1-1
10.8%
9.24
2-0
10.2%
9.8
Both Teams To Score
YES 52% · 1.92
NO 48% · 2.09
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Deportivo Alavés III 52% · 1.91
Draw 32% · 3.16
Aurrerá Vitoria 16% · 6.31
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
53%
47%
Over 53% · 1.89 Under 47% · 2.13
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
77%
23%
Over 77% · 1.3 Under 23% · 4.32
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
31%
69%
Over 31% · 3.26 Under 69% · 1.44

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Deportivo Alavés III Deportivo Alavés III
D W L W L
Aurrerá Vitoria Aurrerá Vitoria
L L W W W

Key Stats Comparison

Deportivo Alavés III
Stat
Aurrerá Vitoria
1.83
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.97
#8
League Pos.
#6
43 pts
Points
46 pts
1.54
Points / Game
1.64
+13
Goal Diff.
+3

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Portugalete Portugalete
29 22 5 2 +42 71
2
Leioa Leioa
29 16 5 8 +14 53
3
Touring Touring
29 15 8 6 +13 53
4
Lagun Onak Lagun Onak
29 16 4 9 +20 52
5
San Ignacio San Ignacio
29 14 7 9 +10 48
6
Derio Derio
29 14 5 10 +11 47
7
Aurrerá Vitoria Aurrerá Vitoria A
29 14 5 10 +3 47
8
Deportivo Alavés III Deportivo Alavés III H
29 12 8 9 +13 44
9
Real Sociedad III Real Sociedad III
29 12 4 13 -4 40
10
Aretxabaleta Aretxabaleta
29 11 6 12 -3 39
11
Durango Durango
29 9 10 11 -1 37
12
Santurtzi Santurtzi
29 7 11 11 -9 32
13
Pasaia KE Pasaia KE
29 8 8 13 -10 32
14
Añorga Añorga
29 9 3 17 -22 30
15
Zamudio Zamudio
29 8 5 16 -18 29
16
Eibar III Eibar III
29 7 7 15 -15 28
17
Zarautz Zarautz
29 7 5 17 -26 26
18
Deusto Deusto
29 5 6 18 -18 21

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record