Championship
May 2, 2026
Derby
11:30
VS
Sheffield Utd
Predicted score
1-0
36% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, May 2 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
36%
Team Context
Derby
Rank#7
Played36
Points54
PPG1.5
Goal Diff7
W
W
L
L
W
Sheffield Utd
11#Rank
36Played
49Points
1.36PPG
2Goal Diff
D
W
L
W
W
Most Likely Scores
1-0
11.9%
8.41
1-1
11.9%
8.42
2-0
9.6%
10.47
2-1
9.5%
10.48
Both Teams To Score
YES
50% · 1.98
NO
50% · 2.02
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Derby
35% · 2.87
Draw
33% · 3.03
Sheffield Utd
32% · 3.11
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
48%
52%
Over 48% · 2.07
Under 52% · 1.93
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
73%
27%
Over 73% · 1.36
Under 27% · 3.75
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
26%
74%
Over 26% · 3.79
Under 74% · 1.36
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Derby
W
W
L
L
W
Sheffield Utd
D
W
L
W
W
Key Stats Comparison
Derby
Stat
Sheffield Utd
1.61
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.0
#7
League Pos.
#11
54 pts
Points
49 pts
1.5
Points / Game
1.36
+7
Goal Diff.
+2
Head to Head
Full H2H record2 W
0 D
3 W
Derby
Draw
Sheffield Utd
12
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Coventry
|
40 | 25 | 8 | 7 | +42 | 83 |
| 2 |
Millwall
|
40 | 21 | 9 | 10 | +10 | 72 |
| 3 |
Middlesbrough
|
40 | 20 | 11 | 9 | +21 | 71 |
| 4 |
Ipswich
|
38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | +28 | 69 |
| 5 |
Hull City
|
40 | 20 | 7 | 13 | +5 | 67 |
| 6 |
Wrexham
|
40 | 17 | 13 | 10 | +9 | 64 |
| 7 |
Southampton
|
39 | 17 | 12 | 10 | +15 | 63 |
| 8 |
Derby
H
|
40 | 17 | 9 | 14 | +7 | 60 |
| 9 |
Watford
|
40 | 14 | 14 | 12 | +3 | 56 |
| 10 |
QPR
|
40 | 16 | 8 | 16 | -5 | 56 |
| 11 |
Norwich
|
40 | 16 | 7 | 17 | +6 | 55 |
| 12 |
Stoke City
|
40 | 15 | 9 | 16 | +5 | 54 |
| 13 |
Bristol City
|
40 | 15 | 9 | 16 | +0 | 54 |
| 14 |
Birmingham
|
40 | 14 | 11 | 15 | -2 | 53 |
| 15 |
Preston
|
40 | 13 | 14 | 13 | -4 | 53 |
| 16 |
Swansea
|
40 | 15 | 8 | 17 | -5 | 53 |
| 17 |
Sheffield Utd
A
|
40 | 15 | 6 | 19 | +0 | 51 |
| 18 |
Charlton
|
40 | 12 | 12 | 16 | -11 | 48 |
| 19 |
Blackburn
|
40 | 12 | 10 | 18 | -12 | 46 |
| 20 |
West Brom
|
40 | 11 | 11 | 18 | -14 | 44 |
| 21 |
Portsmouth
|
39 | 10 | 11 | 18 | -17 | 41 |
| 22 |
Leicester
|
40 | 11 | 13 | 16 | -9 | 40 |
| 23 |
Oxford United
|
40 | 9 | 13 | 18 | -15 | 40 |
| 24 |
Sheffield Wednesday
|
40 | 1 | 9 | 30 | -57 | -6 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.