ScoresFooty
Championship Championship February 14, 2026
Derby

Derby

2–0
FT
Swansea

Swansea

We predicted

1-1 27% confidence
View full match details Saturday, February 14 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 2–0

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

very_low confidence
Prediction Reliability 27%
Team Context
Derby
Rank#11
Played31
Points45
PPG1.45
Goal Diff6
L W D W W
Swansea
15#Rank
31Played
42Points
1.35PPG
1Goal Diff
W W L W D
Most Likely Scores
1-1
13.2%
7.55
1-0
11.7%
8.56
0-1
11.3%
8.89
0-0
9.9%
10.08
Both Teams To Score
YES 47% · 2.13
NO 53% · 1.88
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Derby 37% · 2.71
Draw 28% · 3.53
Swansea 35% · 2.87
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
41%
59%
Over 41% · 2.46 Under 59% · 1.69
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
67%
33%
Over 67% · 1.49 Under 33% · 3.05
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
20%
80%
Over 20% · 4.94 Under 80% · 1.25
View Full Predictions

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Derby Derby
L W D W W
Swansea Swansea
W W L W D

Key Stats Comparison

Derby
Stat
Swansea
1.18
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.13
#11
League Pos.
#15
45 pts
Points
42 pts
1.45
Points / Game
1.35
+6
Goal Diff.
+1

Head to Head

Full H2H record
2 W
0 D
3 W
Derby
Draw
Swansea
12 total goals
5 meetings

Last 3 Meetings

Championship 14 Feb
Championship 25 Nov 2025
Championship 5 Apr 2025

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Coventry Coventry
40 25 8 7 +42 83
2
Millwall Millwall
40 21 9 10 +10 72
3
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
40 20 11 9 +21 71
4
Ipswich Ipswich
38 19 12 7 +28 69
5
Hull City Hull City
40 20 7 13 +5 67
6
Wrexham Wrexham
40 17 13 10 +9 64
7
Southampton Southampton
39 17 12 10 +15 63
8
Derby Derby H
40 17 9 14 +7 60
9
Watford Watford
40 14 14 12 +3 56
10
QPR QPR
40 16 8 16 -5 56
11
Norwich Norwich
40 16 7 17 +6 55
12
Stoke City Stoke City
40 15 9 16 +5 54
13
Bristol City Bristol City
40 15 9 16 +0 54
14
Birmingham Birmingham
40 14 11 15 -2 53
15
Preston Preston
40 13 14 13 -4 53
16
Swansea Swansea A
40 15 8 17 -5 53
17
Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd
40 15 6 19 +0 51
18
Charlton Charlton
40 12 12 16 -11 48
19
Blackburn Blackburn
40 12 10 18 -12 46
20
West Brom West Brom
40 11 11 18 -14 44
21
Portsmouth Portsmouth
39 10 11 18 -17 41
22
Leicester Leicester
40 11 13 16 -9 40
23
Oxford United Oxford United
40 9 13 18 -15 40
24
Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday
40 1 9 30 -57 -6

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record