Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 April 1, 2026
Derio

Derio

22
FT
Eibar III

Eibar III

We predicted

Derio 4+ 44% confidence
View full match details Wednesday, April 1 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted Derio 4+
|
Actual 2–2

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 44%
Team Context
Derio
Rank#5
Played28
Points46
PPG1.64
Goal Diff11
L W W W D
Eibar III
16#Rank
28Played
27Points
0.96PPG
-15Goal Diff
L L L D W
Most Likely Scores
Derio 4+
16.7%
2-0
10.8%
9.29
1-0
9.9%
10.06
2-1
9.9%
10.07
Both Teams To Score
YES 53% · 1.88
NO 47% · 2.14
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Derio 57% · 1.74
Draw 30% · 3.37
Eibar III 13% · 7.7
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
59%
41%
Over 59% · 1.69 Under 41% · 2.46
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
81%
19%
Over 81% · 1.23 Under 19% · 5.33
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
37%
63%
Over 37% · 2.72 Under 63% · 1.58

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Derio Derio
L W W W D
Eibar III Eibar III
L L L D W

Key Stats Comparison

Derio
Stat
Eibar III
2.17
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.92
#5
League Pos.
#16
46 pts
Points
27 pts
1.64
Points / Game
0.96
+11
Goal Diff.
-15

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Portugalete Portugalete
29 22 5 2 +42 71
2
Leioa Leioa
29 16 5 8 +14 53
3
Touring Touring
29 15 8 6 +13 53
4
Lagun Onak Lagun Onak
29 16 4 9 +20 52
5
San Ignacio San Ignacio
29 14 7 9 +10 48
6
Derio Derio H
29 14 5 10 +11 47
7
Aurrerá Vitoria Aurrerá Vitoria
29 14 5 10 +3 47
8
Deportivo Alavés III Deportivo Alavés III
29 12 8 9 +13 44
9
Real Sociedad III Real Sociedad III
29 12 4 13 -4 40
10
Aretxabaleta Aretxabaleta
29 11 6 12 -3 39
11
Durango Durango
29 9 10 11 -1 37
12
Santurtzi Santurtzi
29 7 11 11 -9 32
13
Pasaia KE Pasaia KE
29 8 8 13 -10 32
14
Añorga Añorga
29 9 3 17 -22 30
15
Zamudio Zamudio
29 8 5 16 -18 29
16
Eibar III Eibar III A
29 7 7 15 -15 28
17
Zarautz Zarautz
29 7 5 17 -26 26
18
Deusto Deusto
29 5 6 18 -18 21

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record