Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 February 7, 2026
Derio

Derio

01
FT
Lagun Onak

Lagun Onak

We predicted

0-0 63% confidence
View full match details Saturday, February 7 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 0-0
|
Actual 0–1

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

medium confidence
Prediction Reliability 63%
Team Context
Derio
Rank#8
Played20
Points30
PPG1.5
Goal Diff3
W L W L L
Lagun Onak
2#Rank
20Played
37Points
1.85PPG
16Goal Diff
D W W W W
Most Likely Scores
0-0
67.0%
1.49
0-1
13.4%
7.46
1-0
13.4%
7.46
1-1
2.7%
37.31
Both Teams To Score
YES 3% · 30.4
NO 97% · 1.03
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Derio 15% · 6.61
Draw 70% · 1.43
Lagun Onak 15% · 6.61
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
99%
Over 1% · 100.0 Under 99% · 1.01
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
94%
Over 6% · 16.23 Under 94% · 1.07
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
100%
Over 0% · 100.0 Under 100% · 1.0

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Derio Derio
W L W L L
Lagun Onak Lagun Onak
D W W W W

Key Stats Comparison

Derio
Stat
Lagun Onak
0.2
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.2
#8
League Pos.
#2
30 pts
Points
37 pts
1.5
Points / Game
1.85
+3
Goal Diff.
+16

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Portugalete Portugalete
29 22 5 2 +42 71
2
Leioa Leioa
29 16 5 8 +14 53
3
Touring Touring
29 15 8 6 +13 53
4
Lagun Onak Lagun Onak A
29 16 4 9 +20 52
5
San Ignacio San Ignacio
29 14 7 9 +10 48
6
Derio Derio H
29 14 5 10 +11 47
7
Aurrerá Vitoria Aurrerá Vitoria
29 14 5 10 +3 47
8
Deportivo Alavés III Deportivo Alavés III
29 12 8 9 +13 44
9
Real Sociedad III Real Sociedad III
29 12 4 13 -4 40
10
Aretxabaleta Aretxabaleta
29 11 6 12 -3 39
11
Durango Durango
29 9 10 11 -1 37
12
Santurtzi Santurtzi
29 7 11 11 -9 32
13
Pasaia KE Pasaia KE
29 8 8 13 -10 32
14
Añorga Añorga
29 9 3 17 -22 30
15
Zamudio Zamudio
29 8 5 16 -18 29
16
Eibar III Eibar III
29 7 7 15 -15 28
17
Zarautz Zarautz
29 7 5 17 -26 26
18
Deusto Deusto
29 5 6 18 -18 21

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record