Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 March 15, 2026
Diocesano

Diocesano

00
FT
Montehermoso

Montehermoso

We predicted

1-0 34% confidence
View full match details Sunday, March 15 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 0–0

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 34%
Team Context
Diocesano
Rank#15
Played24
Points20
PPG0.83
Goal Diff-19
L D L L W
Montehermoso
17#Rank
25Played
18Points
0.72PPG
-26Goal Diff
W L W L L
Most Likely Scores
1-0
12.1%
8.29
1-1
11.8%
8.49
2-0
9.8%
10.19
2-1
9.6%
10.44
Both Teams To Score
YES 50% · 2.0
NO 50% · 2.0
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Diocesano 50% · 2.02
Draw 33% · 3.04
Montehermoso 18% · 5.68
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
48%
52%
Over 48% · 2.08 Under 52% · 1.93
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
73%
27%
Over 73% · 1.37 Under 27% · 3.74
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
26%
74%
Over 26% · 3.8 Under 74% · 1.36

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Diocesano Diocesano
L D L L W
Montehermoso Montehermoso
W L W L L

Key Stats Comparison

Diocesano
Stat
Montehermoso
1.63
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.98
#15
League Pos.
#17
20 pts
Points
18 pts
0.83
Points / Game
0.72
-19
Goal Diff.
-26

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Don Benito Don Benito
29 18 7 4 +39 61
2
Moralo Moralo
29 16 9 5 +21 56
3
Badajoz Badajoz
29 18 5 6 +19 56
4
Jaraíz Jaraíz
29 14 10 5 +22 52
5
Azuaga Azuaga
29 15 7 7 +17 52
6
Cabeza Buey Cabeza Buey
29 12 12 5 +13 48
7
Villafranca Villafranca
29 13 6 10 +3 45
8
Villanovense Villanovense
29 11 8 10 +2 41
9
Jerez Jerez
29 7 17 5 +9 38
10
Montijo Montijo
29 10 7 12 +1 37
11
Llerenense Llerenense
29 10 6 13 -6 36
12
Santa Amalia Santa Amalia
29 9 6 14 -16 33
13
Puebla Calzada Puebla Calzada
29 7 12 11 -11 32
14
Gévora Gévora
29 6 8 15 -19 26
15
Diocesano Diocesano H
29 5 10 14 -22 25
16
Atlético Pueblonuevo Atlético Pueblonuevo
29 6 5 18 -28 23
17
Montehermoso Montehermoso A
29 5 8 17 -30 22
18
Calamonte Calamonte
29 3 12 14 -14 21

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record