Iraqi League
April 4, 2026
Diyala
1–1
FT
Newroz
We predicted
1-1
37% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, April 4 2026
Correct prediction!
Predicted
1-1
|
Actual
1–1
Our model correctly predicted the final scoreline.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
37%
Team Context
Diyala
Rank#13
Played25
Points32
PPG1.28
Goal Diff4
W
L
L
D
L
Newroz
9#Rank
25Played
37Points
1.48PPG
1Goal Diff
W
W
W
W
L
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.8%
7.79
1-0
11.1%
9.03
0-1
9.7%
10.3
2-1
8.5%
11.79
Both Teams To Score
YES
50% · 1.99
NO
50% · 2.01
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Diyala
28% · 3.54
Draw
34% · 2.92
Newroz
38% · 2.66
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
45%
55%
Over 45% · 2.22
Under 55% · 1.82
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
71%
29%
Over 71% · 1.41
Under 29% · 3.43
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
24%
76%
Over 24% · 4.21
Under 76% · 1.31
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Diyala
W
L
L
D
L
Newroz
W
W
W
W
L
Key Stats Comparison
Diyala
Stat
Newroz
1.32
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.16
#13
League Pos.
#9
32 pts
Points
37 pts
1.28
Points / Game
1.48
+4
Goal Diff.
+1
Head to Head
Full H2H record0 W
1 D
3 W
Diyala
Draw
Newroz
13
total goals
4
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
|
25 | 18 | 5 | 2 | +22 | 59 |
| 2 |
Al Shorta
|
26 | 17 | 5 | 4 | +26 | 56 |
| 3 |
Erbil
|
25 | 15 | 7 | 3 | +17 | 52 |
| 4 |
Al Talaba
|
26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | +13 | 48 |
| 5 |
Al Zawra'a
|
26 | 12 | 11 | 3 | +12 | 47 |
| 6 |
Zakho
|
26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | +12 | 46 |
| 7 |
Al-Karma
|
26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | +15 | 44 |
| 8 |
Al Karkh
|
26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | +10 | 44 |
| 9 |
Newroz
A
|
26 | 12 | 2 | 12 | +1 | 38 |
| 10 |
Duhok
|
26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | +3 | 37 |
| 11 |
Diyala
H
|
26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | +4 | 33 |
| 12 |
Naft
|
25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | +3 | 33 |
| 13 |
Mosul
|
26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | -7 | 33 |
| 14 |
Gharraf
|
25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | -2 | 32 |
| 15 |
Al Minaa Basra
|
25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | -5 | 26 |
| 16 |
Naft Maysan
|
25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -15 | 22 |
| 17 |
Baghdad
|
26 | 6 | 4 | 16 | -19 | 22 |
| 18 |
Al Kahrabaa
|
25 | 6 | 3 | 16 | -11 | 21 |
| 19 |
Al Najaf
|
26 | 3 | 3 | 20 | -28 | 12 |
| 20 |
Al-Qasim
|
25 | 0 | 2 | 23 | -51 | 2 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.