Tercera División RFEF - Group 14
March 15, 2026
Don Benito
4–0
FT
Puebla Calzada
We predicted
Don Benito 4+
40% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, March 15 2026
Prediction vs. Reality
Predicted
Don Benito 4+
|
Actual
4–0
Our model correctly predicted the outcome — Don Benito 4+ goals was spot on.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
40%
Team Context
Don Benito
Rank#1
Played25
Points51
PPG2.04
Goal Diff32
L
W
W
W
L
Puebla Calzada
12#Rank
25Played
32Points
1.28PPG
-3Goal Diff
W
L
D
W
D
Most Likely Scores
Don Benito 4+
13.2%
1-0
12.2%
8.2
2-0
12.0%
8.36
1-1
10.0%
10.0
Both Teams To Score
YES
48% · 2.08
NO
52% · 1.93
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Don Benito
56% · 1.77
Draw
31% · 3.27
Puebla Calzada
13% · 7.71
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
52%
48%
Over 52% · 1.91
Under 48% · 2.1
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
76%
24%
Over 76% · 1.31
Under 24% · 4.25
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
30%
70%
Over 30% · 3.32
Under 70% · 1.43
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Don Benito
L
W
W
W
L
Puebla Calzada
W
L
D
W
D
Key Stats Comparison
Don Benito
Stat
Puebla Calzada
1.96
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.82
#1
League Pos.
#12
51 pts
Points
32 pts
2.04
Points / Game
1.28
+32
Goal Diff.
-3
Head to Head
Full H2H record1 W
1 D
0 W
Don Benito
Draw
Puebla Calzada
6
total goals
2
meetings
Last 2 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Don Benito
H
|
29 | 18 | 7 | 4 | +39 | 61 |
| 2 |
Moralo
|
29 | 16 | 9 | 5 | +21 | 56 |
| 3 |
Badajoz
|
29 | 18 | 5 | 6 | +19 | 56 |
| 4 |
Jaraíz
|
29 | 14 | 10 | 5 | +22 | 52 |
| 5 |
Azuaga
|
29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | +17 | 52 |
| 6 |
Cabeza Buey
|
29 | 12 | 12 | 5 | +13 | 48 |
| 7 |
Villafranca
|
29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | +3 | 45 |
| 8 |
Villanovense
|
29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | +2 | 41 |
| 9 |
Jerez
|
29 | 7 | 17 | 5 | +9 | 38 |
| 10 |
Montijo
|
29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | +1 | 37 |
| 11 |
Llerenense
|
29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | -6 | 36 |
| 12 |
Santa Amalia
|
29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | -16 | 33 |
| 13 |
Puebla Calzada
A
|
29 | 7 | 12 | 11 | -11 | 32 |
| 14 |
Gévora
|
29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | -19 | 26 |
| 15 |
Diocesano
|
29 | 5 | 10 | 14 | -22 | 25 |
| 16 |
Atlético Pueblonuevo
|
29 | 6 | 5 | 18 | -28 | 23 |
| 17 |
Montehermoso
|
29 | 5 | 8 | 17 | -30 | 22 |
| 18 |
Calamonte
|
29 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -14 | 21 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.