Championship Championship April 4, 2026
Dunfermline

Dunfermline

31
FT
Morton

Morton

We predicted

1-0 36% confidence
View full match details Saturday, April 4 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 3–1

We predicted the correct result direction (home win), though the exact score differed.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 36%
Team Context
Dunfermline
Rank#4
Played29
Points40
PPG1.38
Goal Diff8
D W W W D
Morton
6#Rank
31Played
36Points
1.16PPG
-9Goal Diff
W W L L L
Most Likely Scores
1-0
12.0%
8.35
1-1
11.9%
8.42
2-0
9.6%
10.38
2-1
9.5%
10.48
Both Teams To Score
YES 50% · 1.99
NO 50% · 2.01
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Dunfermline 49% · 2.04
Draw 33% · 3.03
Morton 18% · 5.56
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
48%
52%
Over 48% · 2.08 Under 52% · 1.92
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
73%
27%
Over 73% · 1.37 Under 27% · 3.73
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
26%
74%
Over 26% · 3.81 Under 74% · 1.36

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Dunfermline Dunfermline
D W W W D
Morton Morton
W W L L L

Key Stats Comparison

Dunfermline
Stat
Morton
1.61
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.99
#4
League Pos.
#6
40 pts
Points
36 pts
1.38
Points / Game
1.16
+8
Goal Diff.
-9

Head to Head

Full H2H record
2 W
1 D
2 W
Dunfermline
Draw
Morton
9 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
ST Johnstone ST Johnstone
32 18 11 3 +33 65
2
Partick Partick
32 16 12 4 +15 60
3
Arbroath Arbroath
32 12 11 9 +2 47
4
Dunfermline Dunfermline H
30 12 7 11 +10 43
5
Raith Rovers Raith Rovers
31 9 9 13 +0 36
6
Ayr Utd Ayr Utd
31 7 15 9 -4 36
7
Queen's Park Queen's Park
31 8 12 11 -10 36
8
Morton Morton A
32 8 12 12 -11 36
9
Airdrie United Airdrie United
31 7 9 15 -11 30
10
Ross County Ross County
32 6 10 16 -24 28

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record