Liga Premier Serie A
March 21, 2026
Durango
6–0
FT
Ensenada
We predicted
Durango 4+
55% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, March 21 2026
Prediction vs. Reality
Predicted
Durango 4+
|
Actual
6–0
Our model correctly predicted the outcome — Durango 4+ goals was spot on.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
55%
Team Context
Durango
Rank#1
Played22
Points64
PPG2.91
Goal Diff46
W
W
W
W
W
Ensenada
10#Rank
23Played
28Points
1.22PPG
-15Goal Diff
W
L
L
W
L
Most Likely Scores
Durango 4+
30.9%
2-0
10.1%
9.92
3-0
9.8%
10.25
2-1
8.7%
11.55
Both Teams To Score
YES
54% · 1.84
NO
46% · 2.19
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Durango
65% · 1.54
Draw
26% · 3.85
Ensenada
9% · 11.07
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
72%
28%
Over 72% · 1.4
Under 28% · 3.53
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
89%
Over 89% · 1.13
Under 11% · 8.77
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
50%
50%
Over 50% · 1.98
Under 50% · 2.02
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Durango
W
W
W
W
W
Ensenada
W
L
L
W
L
Key Stats Comparison
Durango
Stat
Ensenada
2.9
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.86
#1
League Pos.
#10
64 pts
Points
28 pts
2.91
Points / Game
1.22
+46
Goal Diff.
-15
Head to Head
Full H2H record2 W
0 D
0 W
Durango
Draw
Ensenada
9
total goals
2
meetings
Last 2 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Real Apodaca
|
25 | 21 | 2 | 2 | +29 | 66 |
| 1 |
Durango
H
|
25 | 20 | 2 | 3 | +54 | 71 |
| 1 |
Racing de Veracruz
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 | +41 | 68 |
| 2 |
Tigres de Alica
|
25 | 16 | 3 | 6 | +19 | 52 |
| 2 |
FC Santiago
|
24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | +16 | 46 |
| 2 |
Deportiva Venados
|
23 | 14 | 4 | 5 | +30 | 49 |
| 3 |
Cimarrones
|
25 | 14 | 7 | 4 | +23 | 50 |
| 3 |
Celaya
|
23 | 12 | 3 | 8 | +10 | 42 |
| 3 |
Zacatepec 1948
|
25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | +15 | 45 |
| 4 |
Leones Negros
|
25 | 15 | 2 | 8 | +15 | 50 |
| 4 |
Deportivo Zap
|
25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | +18 | 44 |
| 4 |
Inter Playa del Carmen
|
24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | +7 | 42 |
| 5 |
Calor de San Pedro
|
25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | +8 | 41 |
| 5 |
Tapachula
|
23 | 12 | 0 | 11 | +12 | 41 |
| 5 |
Tecos
|
25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | +12 | 45 |
| 6 |
Gavilanes FC Matamoros
|
25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | +8 | 41 |
| 6 |
Tritons Vallarta
|
24 | 14 | 1 | 9 | +5 | 43 |
| 6 |
Montañeses
|
23 | 12 | 2 | 9 | +8 | 38 |
| 7 |
Lobos ULMX
|
25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | +8 | 40 |
| 7 |
Mineros de Fresnillo
|
25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | +0 | 39 |
| 7 |
Pioneros de Cancún
|
23 | 10 | 2 | 11 | +0 | 34 |
| 8 |
Los Cabos United
|
25 | 11 | 3 | 11 | -1 | 37 |
| 8 |
Correcaminos UAT II
|
25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | +1 | 33 |
| 8 |
Jaguares de Chiapas
|
23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | +1 | 33 |
| 9 |
Chilpancingo
|
25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | -9 | 32 |
| 9 |
Héroes de Zaci
|
22 | 8 | 2 | 12 | -20 | 27 |
| 9 |
Guerreros
|
24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | +0 | 32 |
| 10 |
Chapulineros
|
23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | -12 | 22 |
| 10 |
Ensenada
A
|
25 | 8 | 2 | 15 | -22 | 28 |
| 10 |
Cordobés
|
25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | -4 | 26 |
| 11 |
Cañoneros Marina
|
23 | 7 | 1 | 15 | -19 | 22 |
| 11 |
Sporting Canamy
|
25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | -14 | 26 |
| 11 |
UA Zacatecas
|
25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | -20 | 26 |
| 12 |
Zitacuaro
|
24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | -10 | 24 |
| 12 |
Acatlan
|
24 | 6 | 1 | 17 | -28 | 21 |
| 12 |
Neza
|
22 | 5 | 2 | 15 | -36 | 19 |
| 13 |
Reboceros La Piedad
|
25 | 6 | 1 | 18 | -30 | 20 |
| 13 |
Ciervos
|
25 | 4 | 4 | 17 | -29 | 18 |
| 13 |
Mexicali FC
|
23 | 4 | 3 | 16 | -22 | 17 |
| 14 |
Atletico Hidalgo
|
25 | 4 | 4 | 17 | -37 | 16 |
| 14 |
Colima
|
24 | 3 | 3 | 18 | -27 | 13 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.