Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 March 28, 2026
Durango

Durango

01
FT
San Ignacio

San Ignacio

We predicted

1-0 36% confidence
View full match details Saturday, March 28 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 0–1

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 36%
Team Context
Durango
Rank#10
Played27
Points36
PPG1.33
Goal Diff1
L W L L L
San Ignacio
8#Rank
27Played
42Points
1.56PPG
7Goal Diff
D D W D L
Most Likely Scores
1-0
14.8%
6.76
1-1
12.8%
7.84
0-0
11.0%
9.1
2-0
10.0%
10.04
Both Teams To Score
YES 43% · 2.34
NO 57% · 1.75
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Durango 43% · 2.34
Draw 31% · 3.25
San Ignacio 26% · 3.79
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
38%
62%
Over 38% · 2.64 Under 62% · 1.61
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
65%
35%
Over 65% · 1.54 Under 35% · 2.84
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
18%
82%
Over 18% · 5.5 Under 82% · 1.22

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Durango Durango
L W L L L
San Ignacio San Ignacio
D D W D L

Key Stats Comparison

Durango
Stat
San Ignacio
1.35
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.86
#10
League Pos.
#8
36 pts
Points
42 pts
1.33
Points / Game
1.56
+1
Goal Diff.
+7

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Portugalete Portugalete
29 22 5 2 +42 71
2
Leioa Leioa
29 16 5 8 +14 53
3
Touring Touring
29 15 8 6 +13 53
4
Lagun Onak Lagun Onak
29 16 4 9 +20 52
5
San Ignacio San Ignacio A
29 14 7 9 +10 48
6
Derio Derio
29 14 5 10 +11 47
7
Aurrerá Vitoria Aurrerá Vitoria
29 14 5 10 +3 47
8
Deportivo Alavés III Deportivo Alavés III
29 12 8 9 +13 44
9
Real Sociedad III Real Sociedad III
29 12 4 13 -4 40
10
Aretxabaleta Aretxabaleta
29 11 6 12 -3 39
11
Durango Durango H
29 9 10 11 -1 37
12
Santurtzi Santurtzi
29 7 11 11 -9 32
13
Pasaia KE Pasaia KE
29 8 8 13 -10 32
14
Añorga Añorga
29 9 3 17 -22 30
15
Zamudio Zamudio
29 8 5 16 -18 29
16
Eibar III Eibar III
29 7 7 15 -15 28
17
Zarautz Zarautz
29 7 5 17 -26 26
18
Deusto Deusto
29 5 6 18 -18 21

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record