Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 March 15, 2026
Eibar III

Eibar III

01
FT
Aurrerá Vitoria

Aurrerá Vitoria

We predicted

1-1 38% confidence
View full match details Sunday, March 15 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 0–1

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 38%
Team Context
Eibar III
Rank#12
Played25
Points27
PPG1.08
Goal Diff-10
D W W L W
Aurrerá Vitoria
4#Rank
25Played
44Points
1.76PPG
5Goal Diff
W W W L W
Most Likely Scores
1-1
11.8%
8.5
1-0
10.1%
9.94
2-1
9.4%
10.65
2-0
8.0%
12.45
Both Teams To Score
YES 55% · 1.82
NO 45% · 2.22
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Eibar III 32% · 3.09
Draw 33% · 3.04
Aurrerá Vitoria 35% · 2.88
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
52%
48%
Over 52% · 1.92 Under 48% · 2.09
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
76%
24%
Over 76% · 1.31 Under 24% · 4.21
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
30%
70%
Over 30% · 3.34 Under 70% · 1.43

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Eibar III Eibar III
D W W L W
Aurrerá Vitoria Aurrerá Vitoria
W W W L W

Key Stats Comparison

Eibar III
Stat
Aurrerá Vitoria
1.6
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.17
#12
League Pos.
#4
27 pts
Points
44 pts
1.08
Points / Game
1.76
-10
Goal Diff.
+5

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Portugalete Portugalete
29 22 5 2 +42 71
2
Leioa Leioa
29 16 5 8 +14 53
3
Touring Touring
29 15 8 6 +13 53
4
Lagun Onak Lagun Onak
29 16 4 9 +20 52
5
San Ignacio San Ignacio
29 14 7 9 +10 48
6
Derio Derio
29 14 5 10 +11 47
7
Aurrerá Vitoria Aurrerá Vitoria A
29 14 5 10 +3 47
8
Deportivo Alavés III Deportivo Alavés III
29 12 8 9 +13 44
9
Real Sociedad III Real Sociedad III
29 12 4 13 -4 40
10
Aretxabaleta Aretxabaleta
29 11 6 12 -3 39
11
Durango Durango
29 9 10 11 -1 37
12
Santurtzi Santurtzi
29 7 11 11 -9 32
13
Pasaia KE Pasaia KE
29 8 8 13 -10 32
14
Añorga Añorga
29 9 3 17 -22 30
15
Zamudio Zamudio
29 8 5 16 -18 29
16
Eibar III Eibar III H
29 7 7 15 -15 28
17
Zarautz Zarautz
29 7 5 17 -26 26
18
Deusto Deusto
29 5 6 18 -18 21

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record