USL Championship USL Championship April 5, 2026
El Paso Locomotive

El Paso Locomotive

32
FT
Las Vegas Lights

Las Vegas Lights

We predicted

1-0 37% confidence
View full match details Sunday, April 5 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 3–2

We predicted the correct result direction (home win), though the exact score differed.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 37%
Team Context
El Paso Locomotive
Rank#4
Played30
Points41
PPG1.37
Goal Diff2
L L D W D
Las Vegas Lights
12#Rank
30Played
27Points
0.9PPG
-27Goal Diff
D L D L L
Most Likely Scores
1-0
12.7%
7.9
1-1
11.3%
8.83
2-0
10.8%
9.23
2-1
9.7%
10.32
Both Teams To Score
YES 48% · 2.07
NO 52% · 1.94
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
El Paso Locomotive 52% · 1.93
Draw 32% · 3.09
Las Vegas Lights 16% · 6.35
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
48%
52%
Over 48% · 2.08 Under 52% · 1.93
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
73%
27%
Over 73% · 1.36 Under 27% · 3.75
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
26%
74%
Over 26% · 3.79 Under 74% · 1.36

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive
L L D W D
Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights
D L D L L

Key Stats Comparison

El Paso Locomotive
Stat
Las Vegas Lights
1.71
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.9
#4
League Pos.
#12
41 pts
Points
27 pts
1.37
Points / Game
0.9
+2
Goal Diff.
-27

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record