Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 April 4, 2026
Elche II

Elche II

21
FT
Rayo Vallecano II

Rayo Vallecano II

We predicted

Elche II 4+ 40% confidence
View full match details Saturday, April 4 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted Elche II 4+
|
Actual 2–1

We predicted the correct result direction (home), though fewer than 4 goals were scored.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 40%
Team Context
Elche II
Rank#12
Played29
Points35
PPG1.21
Goal Diff-1
W L L D L
Rayo Vallecano II
18#Rank
29Played
27Points
0.93PPG
-26Goal Diff
L L D L L
Most Likely Scores
Elche II 4+
15.4%
2-1
10.0%
10.01
2-0
9.6%
10.44
1-1
9.5%
10.5
Both Teams To Score
YES 57% · 1.76
NO 43% · 2.31
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Elche II 57% · 1.76
Draw 32% · 3.09
Rayo Vallecano II 11% · 9.22
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
61%
39%
Over 61% · 1.65 Under 39% · 2.53
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
82%
18%
Over 82% · 1.22 Under 18% · 5.55
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
38%
62%
Over 38% · 2.63 Under 62% · 1.61

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Elche II Elche II
W L L D L
Rayo Vallecano II Rayo Vallecano II
L L D L L

Key Stats Comparison

Elche II
Stat
Rayo Vallecano II
2.1
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.04
#12
League Pos.
#18
35 pts
Points
27 pts
1.21
Points / Game
0.93
-1
Goal Diff.
-26

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
SS Reyes SS Reyes
29 18 6 5 +21 60
2
Rayo Majadahonda Rayo Majadahonda
29 16 9 4 +22 57
3
Getafe II Getafe II
29 15 8 6 +21 53
4
Conquense Conquense
29 13 11 5 +11 50
5
CD Coria CD Coria
29 12 9 8 +9 45
6
Tenerife II Tenerife II
29 13 5 11 +2 44
7
Orihuela Orihuela
29 11 9 9 +5 42
8
RSD Alcalá RSD Alcalá
29 11 8 10 -2 41
9
Las Palmas II Las Palmas II
29 10 8 11 +1 38
10
Elche II Elche II H
30 9 11 10 +0 38
11
Intercity Intercity
29 9 10 10 -1 37
12
Navalcarnero Navalcarnero
29 9 9 11 -4 36
13
Fuenlabrada Fuenlabrada
29 8 9 12 -5 33
14
Real Madrid III Real Madrid III
29 8 7 14 -6 31
15
Quintanar del Rey Quintanar del Rey
29 8 5 16 -9 29
16
Socuéllamos Socuéllamos
29 6 9 14 -18 27
17
Colonia Moscardó Colonia Moscardó
29 7 6 16 -20 27
18
Rayo Vallecano II Rayo Vallecano II A
30 8 3 19 -27 27

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record