Iraqi League Iraqi League March 13, 2026
Erbil

Erbil

32
FT
Al Minaa Basra

Al Minaa Basra

We predicted

1-0 39% confidence
View full match details Friday, March 13 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 3–2

We predicted the correct result direction (home win), though the exact score differed.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 39%
Team Context
Erbil
Rank#3
Played20
Points41
PPG2.05
Goal Diff12
W W L W D
Al Minaa Basra
14#Rank
21Played
24Points
1.14PPG
-3Goal Diff
W W L L D
Most Likely Scores
1-0
13.7%
7.31
1-1
12.8%
7.8
0-0
10.0%
9.96
0-1
9.4%
10.63
Both Teams To Score
YES 45% · 2.21
NO 55% · 1.83
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Erbil 46% · 2.18
Draw 35% · 2.9
Al Minaa Basra 19% · 5.13
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
40%
60%
Over 40% · 2.48 Under 60% · 1.68
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
67%
33%
Over 67% · 1.5 Under 33% · 3.02
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
20%
80%
Over 20% · 5.0 Under 80% · 1.25

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Erbil Erbil
W W L W D
Al Minaa Basra Al Minaa Basra
W W L L D

Key Stats Comparison

Erbil
Stat
Al Minaa Basra
1.36
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.94
#3
League Pos.
#14
41 pts
Points
24 pts
2.05
Points / Game
1.14
+12
Goal Diff.
-3

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Al Quwa Al Jawiya Al Quwa Al Jawiya
26 18 6 2 +22 60
2
Al Shorta Al Shorta
26 17 5 4 +26 56
3
Erbil Erbil H
26 15 8 3 +17 53
4
Al Talaba Al Talaba
26 14 6 6 +13 48
5
Al Zawra'a Al Zawra'a
26 12 11 3 +12 47
6
Al-Karma Al-Karma
26 12 8 6 +15 44
7
Al Karkh Al Karkh
26 12 8 6 +10 44
8
Zakho Zakho
26 12 7 7 +8 43
9
Newroz Newroz
26 12 2 12 +1 38
10
Duhok Duhok
26 10 7 9 +3 37
11
Naft Naft
26 8 10 8 +3 34
12
Diyala Diyala
26 8 9 9 +4 33
13
Gharraf Gharraf
26 9 6 11 -2 33
14
Mosul Mosul
26 9 6 11 -7 33
15
Al Minaa Basra Al Minaa Basra A
26 6 8 12 -6 26
16
Naft Maysan Naft Maysan
26 6 7 13 -14 25
17
Baghdad Baghdad
26 7 4 15 -15 25
18
Al Kahrabaa Al Kahrabaa
26 7 3 16 -8 24
19
Al Najaf Al Najaf
26 3 3 20 -28 12
20
Al-Qasim Al-Qasim
26 0 2 24 -54 2

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record