3. Liga 3. Liga January 24, 2026
Erzgebirge Aue

Erzgebirge Aue

03
FT
SSV Ulm 1846

SSV Ulm 1846

We predicted

1-1 25% confidence
View full match details Saturday, January 24 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 0–3

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

very_low confidence
Prediction Reliability 25%
Most Likely Scores
1-1
10.1%
9.91
Erzgebirge Aue 4+
8.8%
2-1
8.6%
11.59
1-2
8.0%
12.53
Both Teams To Score
YES 65% · 1.54
NO 35% · 2.86
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Erzgebirge Aue 41% · 2.43
Draw 23% · 4.33
SSV Ulm 1846 36% · 2.79
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
64%
36%
Over 64% · 1.57 Under 36% · 2.76
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
84%
16%
Over 84% · 1.19 Under 16% · 6.25
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
42%
58%
Over 42% · 2.4 Under 58% · 1.71

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Key Stats Comparison

Erzgebirge Aue
Stat
SSV Ulm 1846
1.71
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.58

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
VfL Osnabrück VfL Osnabrück
31 19 7 5 +28 64
2
Rot-Weiß Essen Rot-Weiß Essen
31 16 10 5 +13 58
3
Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus
31 16 9 6 +14 57
4
Verl Verl
31 15 9 7 +28 54
5
MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg
31 15 9 7 +12 54
6
Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock
31 14 11 6 +20 53
7
TSV 1860 München TSV 1860 München
31 14 8 9 +7 50
8
SV Wehen SV Wehen
31 14 6 11 +6 48
9
Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen
31 14 5 12 +5 47
10
Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim
31 14 4 13 -5 46
11
FC Viktoria Köln FC Viktoria Köln
31 12 5 14 +1 41
12
Stuttgart II Stuttgart II
31 12 5 14 -11 41
13
FC Ingolstadt 04 FC Ingolstadt 04
31 10 10 11 +8 40
14
SSV Jahn Regensburg SSV Jahn Regensburg
31 11 6 14 -5 39
15
Hoffenheim II Hoffenheim II
31 11 5 15 +1 38
16
FC Saarbrücken FC Saarbrücken
31 8 12 11 -5 36
17
SSV Ulm 1846 SSV Ulm 1846 A
31 8 4 19 -22 28
18
Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue H
31 5 9 17 -22 24
19
Havelse Havelse
31 5 8 18 -29 23
20
FC Schweinfurt 05 FC Schweinfurt 05
31 5 2 24 -44 17

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record