Primeira Liga
May 17, 2026
Estoril
16:00
VS
Benfica
Predicted score
Benfica 4+
40% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, May 17 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
40%
Team Context
Estoril
Rank#8
Played25
Points34
PPG1.36
Goal Diff4
D
L
W
L
D
Benfica
3#Rank
25Played
59Points
2.36PPG
37Goal Diff
D
W
W
W
W
Most Likely Scores
Benfica 4+
14.2%
0-2
11.1%
9.05
0-1
10.9%
9.17
1-2
10.0%
10.05
Both Teams To Score
YES
52% · 1.94
NO
48% · 2.06
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Estoril
10% · 10.43
Draw
32% · 3.08
Benfica
58% · 1.73
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
56%
44%
Over 56% · 1.79
Under 44% · 2.26
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
79%
21%
Over 79% · 1.27
Under 21% · 4.73
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
33%
67%
Over 33% · 3.0
Under 67% · 1.5
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Estoril
D
L
W
L
D
Benfica
D
W
W
W
W
Key Stats Comparison
Estoril
Stat
Benfica
0.9
Exp. Goals (xG)
2.02
#8
League Pos.
#3
34 pts
Points
59 pts
1.36
Points / Game
2.36
+4
Goal Diff.
+37
Head to Head
Full H2H record0 W
1 D
4 W
Estoril
Draw
Benfica
16
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
FC Porto
|
28 | 23 | 4 | 1 | +43 | 73 |
| 2 |
Sporting CP
|
27 | 21 | 5 | 1 | +55 | 68 |
| 3 |
Benfica
A
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 | +41 | 65 |
| 4 |
SC Braga
|
27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | +27 | 49 |
| 5 |
Famalicao
|
28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | +11 | 46 |
| 6 |
GIL Vicente
|
28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | +14 | 45 |
| 7 |
Estoril
H
|
27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | +4 | 37 |
| 8 |
Guimaraes
|
28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 35 |
| 9 |
Moreirense
|
28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | -9 | 35 |
| 10 |
Alverca
|
28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | -17 | 32 |
| 11 |
Rio Ave
|
28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | -19 | 30 |
| 12 |
Arouca
|
27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | -21 | 29 |
| 13 |
Santa Clara
|
28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | -9 | 28 |
| 14 |
Estrela
|
28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | -14 | 28 |
| 15 |
Nacional
|
28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 25 |
| 16 |
Casa Pia
|
26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -22 | 24 |
| 17 |
Tondela
|
27 | 4 | 8 | 15 | -25 | 20 |
| 18 |
AVS
|
28 | 1 | 8 | 19 | -43 | 11 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.