Primeira Liga
March 7, 2026
Estoril
0–0
FT
Casa Pia
We predicted
1-1
26% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, March 7 2026
Prediction vs. Reality
Predicted
1-1
|
Actual
0–0
We predicted the correct result direction (draw), though the exact score differed.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
26%
Team Context
Estoril
Rank#8
Played24
Points33
PPG1.38
Goal Diff4
L
W
L
D
W
Casa Pia
13#Rank
24Played
23Points
0.96PPG
-18Goal Diff
D
L
W
D
W
Most Likely Scores
1-1
10.9%
9.14
Estoril 4+
9.7%
2-1
9.6%
10.42
1-0
8.9%
11.25
Both Teams To Score
YES
58% · 1.71
NO
42% · 2.41
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Estoril
48% · 2.09
Draw
32% · 3.11
Casa Pia
20% · 4.97
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
57%
43%
Over 57% · 1.75
Under 43% · 2.34
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
80%
20%
Over 80% · 1.25
Under 20% · 4.95
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
35%
65%
Over 35% · 2.88
Under 65% · 1.53
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Estoril
L
W
L
D
W
Casa Pia
D
L
W
D
W
Key Stats Comparison
Estoril
Stat
Casa Pia
1.75
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.23
#8
League Pos.
#13
33 pts
Points
23 pts
1.38
Points / Game
0.96
+4
Goal Diff.
-18
Head to Head
Full H2H record1 W
3 D
1 W
Estoril
Draw
Casa Pia
10
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
FC Porto
|
28 | 23 | 4 | 1 | +43 | 73 |
| 2 |
Sporting CP
|
27 | 21 | 5 | 1 | +55 | 68 |
| 3 |
Benfica
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 | +41 | 65 |
| 4 |
SC Braga
|
27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | +27 | 49 |
| 5 |
Famalicao
|
28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | +11 | 46 |
| 6 |
GIL Vicente
|
28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | +14 | 45 |
| 7 |
Estoril
H
|
27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | +4 | 37 |
| 8 |
Guimaraes
|
28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 35 |
| 9 |
Moreirense
|
28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | -9 | 35 |
| 10 |
Alverca
|
28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | -17 | 32 |
| 11 |
Rio Ave
|
28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | -19 | 30 |
| 12 |
Arouca
|
27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | -21 | 29 |
| 13 |
Santa Clara
|
28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | -9 | 28 |
| 14 |
Estrela
|
28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | -14 | 28 |
| 15 |
Nacional
|
28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 25 |
| 16 |
Casa Pia
A
|
26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -22 | 24 |
| 17 |
Tondela
|
27 | 4 | 8 | 15 | -25 | 20 |
| 18 |
AVS
|
28 | 1 | 8 | 19 | -43 | 11 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.