Tercera División RFEF - Group 1
April 5, 2026
Estradense
17:00
VS
Arosa
Predicted score
1-1
37% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, April 5 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
37%
Team Context
Estradense
Rank#8
Played28
Points40
PPG1.43
Goal Diff8
W
L
D
W
W
Arosa
2#Rank
28Played
57Points
2.04PPG
20Goal Diff
D
W
W
W
D
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.2%
8.2
1-0
10.1%
9.9
2-1
9.0%
11.11
0-1
8.3%
12.12
Both Teams To Score
YES
54% · 1.85
NO
46% · 2.18
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Estradense
30% · 3.33
Draw
33% · 2.99
Arosa
37% · 2.73
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
50%
50%
Over 50% · 1.99
Under 50% · 2.01
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
75%
25%
Over 75% · 1.34
Under 25% · 3.97
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
28%
72%
Over 28% · 3.55
Under 72% · 1.39
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Estradense
W
L
D
W
W
Arosa
D
W
W
W
D
Key Stats Comparison
Estradense
Stat
Arosa
1.48
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.21
#8
League Pos.
#2
40 pts
Points
57 pts
1.43
Points / Game
2.04
+8
Goal Diff.
+20
Head to Head
Full H2H record0 W
2 D
3 W
Estradense
Draw
Arosa
8
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.