Primera División Primera División April 5, 2026
Estudiantes de Merida FC

Estudiantes de Merida FC

21
FT
Portuguesa FC

Portuguesa FC

We predicted

1-0 36% confidence
View full match details Sunday, April 5 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 2–1

We predicted the correct result direction (home win), though the exact score differed.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 36%
Team Context
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Rank#10
Played13
Points16
PPG1.23
Goal Diff-5
L W W L L
Portuguesa FC
14#Rank
13Played
7Points
0.54PPG
-11Goal Diff
L L L W L
Most Likely Scores
1-0
14.2%
7.05
1-1
12.6%
7.94
0-0
10.1%
9.92
2-0
10.0%
10.01
Both Teams To Score
YES 44% · 2.25
NO 56% · 1.8
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Estudiantes de Merida FC 33% · 2.99
Draw 34% · 2.91
Portuguesa FC 32% · 3.1
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
40%
60%
Over 40% · 2.49 Under 60% · 1.67
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
67%
33%
Over 67% · 1.5 Under 33% · 3.01
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
20%
80%
Over 20% · 5.02 Under 80% · 1.25

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Estudiantes de Merida FC Estudiantes de Merida FC
L W W L L
Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC
L L L W L

Key Stats Comparison

Estudiantes de Merida FC
Stat
Portuguesa FC
1.41
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.89
#10
League Pos.
#14
16 pts
Points
7 pts
1.23
Points / Game
0.54
-5
Goal Diff.
-11

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record