Eredivisie Eredivisie February 1, 2026
Excelsior

Excelsior

22
FT
Ajax

Ajax

We predicted

Ajax 4+ 26% confidence
View full match details Sunday, February 1 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted Ajax 4+
|
Actual 2–2

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

very_low confidence
Prediction Reliability 26%
Team Context
Excelsior
Rank#13
Played20
Points22
PPG1.1
Goal Diff-15
D D D L W
Ajax
4#Rank
20Played
37Points
1.85PPG
13Goal Diff
W D W D W
Most Likely Scores
Ajax 4+
9.9%
1-1
9.4%
10.65
1-2
8.4%
11.86
Excelsior 4+
8.1%
Both Teams To Score
YES 68% · 1.48
NO 32% · 3.1
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Excelsior 36% · 2.75
Draw 22% · 4.46
Ajax 41% · 2.43
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
67%
33%
Over 67% · 1.49 Under 33% · 3.06
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
86%
Over 86% · 1.16 Under 14% · 7.17
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
46%
54%
Over 46% · 2.2 Under 54% · 1.84

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Excelsior Excelsior
D D D L W
Ajax Ajax
W D W D W

Key Stats Comparison

Excelsior
Stat
Ajax
1.68
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.8
#13
League Pos.
#4
22 pts
Points
37 pts
1.1
Points / Game
1.85
-15
Goal Diff.
+13

Head to Head

Full H2H record
1 W
3 D
1 W
Excelsior
Draw
Ajax
20 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven
29 23 2 4 +42 71
2
Feyenoord Feyenoord
28 16 5 7 +21 53
3
NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen
29 15 8 6 +24 53
4
Twente Twente
29 13 11 5 +18 50
5
Ajax Ajax A
29 12 12 5 +17 48
6
AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar
29 13 6 10 +4 45
7
Heerenveen Heerenveen
28 11 8 9 +3 41
8
Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam
28 12 5 11 -12 41
9
Utrecht Utrecht
29 11 8 10 +10 41
10
Groningen Groningen
29 12 5 12 +5 41
11
Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard
29 10 5 14 -11 35
12
PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle
28 8 9 11 -15 33
13
GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagles
28 7 11 10 +0 32
14
FC Volendam FC Volendam
28 7 6 15 -18 27
15
Telstar Telstar
29 6 9 14 -10 27
16
Excelsior Excelsior H
29 7 6 16 -20 27
17
NAC Breda NAC Breda
28 5 8 15 -21 23
18
Heracles Heracles
28 5 4 19 -37 19

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record