Eredivisie Eredivisie March 7, 2026
Excelsior

Excelsior

12
FT
Heerenveen

Heerenveen

We predicted

1-1 26% confidence
View full match details Saturday, March 7 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 1–2

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

very_low confidence
Prediction Reliability 26%
Team Context
Excelsior
Rank#15
Played25
Points26
PPG1.04
Goal Diff-16
L L L W D
Heerenveen
9#Rank
25Played
34Points
1.36PPG
-1Goal Diff
W L W W L
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.6%
7.96
1-0
10.9%
9.2
0-1
9.0%
11.12
2-1
8.8%
11.36
Both Teams To Score
YES 52% · 1.94
NO 48% · 2.07
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Excelsior 43% · 2.3
Draw 34% · 2.95
Heerenveen 23% · 4.42
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
47%
53%
Over 47% · 2.13 Under 53% · 1.89
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
72%
28%
Over 72% · 1.38 Under 28% · 3.62
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
25%
75%
Over 25% · 3.94 Under 75% · 1.34

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Excelsior Excelsior
L L L W D
Heerenveen Heerenveen
W L W W L

Key Stats Comparison

Excelsior
Stat
Heerenveen
1.4
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.16
#15
League Pos.
#9
26 pts
Points
34 pts
1.04
Points / Game
1.36
-16
Goal Diff.
-1

Head to Head

Full H2H record
2 W
1 D
2 W
Excelsior
Draw
Heerenveen
12 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven
29 23 2 4 +42 71
2
Feyenoord Feyenoord
29 16 6 7 +21 54
3
NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen
29 15 8 6 +24 53
4
Twente Twente
29 13 11 5 +18 50
5
Ajax Ajax
29 12 12 5 +17 48
6
AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar
29 13 6 10 +4 45
7
Heerenveen Heerenveen A
29 12 8 9 +6 44
8
Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam
29 12 6 11 -12 42
9
Utrecht Utrecht
29 11 8 10 +10 41
10
Groningen Groningen
29 12 5 12 +5 41
11
GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagles
29 8 11 10 +5 35
12
Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard
29 10 5 14 -11 35
13
PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle
29 8 9 12 -20 33
14
FC Volendam FC Volendam
29 7 7 15 -18 28
15
Telstar Telstar
29 6 9 14 -10 27
16
Excelsior Excelsior H
29 7 6 16 -20 27
17
NAC Breda NAC Breda
29 5 9 15 -21 24
18
Heracles Heracles
29 5 4 20 -40 19

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record