League One League One March 14, 2026
Exeter City

Exeter City

04
FT
Cardiff

Cardiff

We predicted

1-1 36% confidence
View full match details Saturday, March 14 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 0–4

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 36%
Team Context
Exeter City
Rank#16
Played36
Points42
PPG1.17
Goal Diff-3
L L D L D
Cardiff
2#Rank
36Played
73Points
2.03PPG
30Goal Diff
D L W L W
Most Likely Scores
1-1
11.0%
9.11
Exeter City 4+
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
10.31
1-0
9.3%
10.72
Both Teams To Score
YES 57% · 1.74
NO 43% · 2.34
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Exeter City 35% · 2.89
Draw 32% · 3.12
Cardiff 33% · 3.0
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
56%
44%
Over 56% · 1.78 Under 44% · 2.29
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
79%
21%
Over 79% · 1.26 Under 21% · 4.8
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
34%
66%
Over 34% · 2.96 Under 66% · 1.51

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Exeter City Exeter City
L L D L D
Cardiff Cardiff
D L W L W

Key Stats Comparison

Exeter City
Stat
Cardiff
1.77
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.18
#16
League Pos.
#2
42 pts
Points
73 pts
1.17
Points / Game
2.03
-3
Goal Diff.
+30

Head to Head

Full H2H record
0 W
1 D
3 W
Exeter City
Draw
Cardiff
10 total goals
4 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Lincoln Lincoln
40 26 9 5 +41 87
2
Cardiff Cardiff A
39 23 8 8 +32 77
3
Bolton Bolton
40 18 15 7 +17 69
4
Bradford Bradford
40 20 8 12 +6 68
5
Stockport County Stockport County
39 19 9 11 +9 66
6
Reading Reading
41 16 14 11 +9 62
7
Stevenage Stevenage
39 17 10 12 +3 61
8
Wycombe Wycombe
41 16 11 14 +13 59
9
Plymouth Plymouth
40 18 5 17 +5 59
10
Huddersfield Huddersfield
40 16 10 14 +8 58
11
Luton Luton
40 16 10 14 +4 58
12
Mansfield Town Mansfield Town
38 13 13 12 +8 52
13
Barnsley Barnsley
38 13 12 13 -1 51
14
Peterborough Peterborough
39 15 5 19 +4 50
15
Leyton Orient Leyton Orient
40 14 8 18 -7 50
16
AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon
40 14 8 18 -10 50
17
Doncaster Doncaster
40 14 8 18 -19 50
18
Blackpool Blackpool
41 13 9 19 -15 48
19
Burton Albion Burton Albion
41 12 11 18 -11 47
20
Wigan Wigan
40 11 13 16 -13 46
21
Exeter City Exeter City H
41 11 10 20 -11 43
22
Rotherham Rotherham
39 9 10 20 -23 37
23
Northampton Northampton
40 9 8 23 -24 35
24
Port Vale Port Vale
38 7 10 21 -25 31

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record