Primeira Liga
March 6, 2026
Famalicao
1–0
FT
Arouca
We predicted
1-0
30% confidence
View full match details
Friday, March 6 2026
Correct prediction!
Predicted
1-0
|
Actual
1–0
Our model correctly predicted the final scoreline.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
30%
Team Context
Famalicao
Rank#6
Played24
Points36
PPG1.5
Goal Diff8
D
W
L
W
L
Arouca
11#Rank
24Played
26Points
1.08PPG
-20Goal Diff
L
W
L
W
W
Most Likely Scores
1-0
16.0%
6.24
2-0
12.9%
7.73
1-1
11.2%
8.95
0-0
9.9%
10.07
Both Teams To Score
YES
40% · 2.49
NO
60% · 1.67
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Famalicao
54% · 1.86
Draw
33% · 3.05
Arouca
14% · 7.37
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
41%
59%
Over 41% · 2.46
Under 59% · 1.68
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
67%
33%
Over 67% · 1.49
Under 33% · 3.04
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
20%
80%
Over 20% · 4.96
Under 80% · 1.25
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Famalicao
D
W
L
W
L
Arouca
L
W
L
W
W
Key Stats Comparison
Famalicao
Stat
Arouca
1.61
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.7
#6
League Pos.
#11
36 pts
Points
26 pts
1.5
Points / Game
1.08
+8
Goal Diff.
-20
Head to Head
Full H2H record2 W
2 D
1 W
Famalicao
Draw
Arouca
11
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
FC Porto
|
28 | 23 | 4 | 1 | +43 | 73 |
| 2 |
Sporting CP
|
27 | 21 | 5 | 1 | +55 | 68 |
| 3 |
Benfica
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 | +41 | 66 |
| 4 |
SC Braga
|
27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | +27 | 49 |
| 5 |
Famalicao
H
|
28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | +11 | 46 |
| 6 |
GIL Vicente
|
28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | +14 | 45 |
| 7 |
Estoril
|
28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | +3 | 37 |
| 8 |
Guimaraes
|
28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 35 |
| 9 |
Moreirense
|
28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | -9 | 35 |
| 10 |
Alverca
|
28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | -17 | 32 |
| 11 |
Arouca
A
|
28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | -20 | 32 |
| 12 |
Rio Ave
|
28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | -19 | 30 |
| 13 |
Santa Clara
|
28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | -9 | 28 |
| 14 |
Estrela
|
28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | -14 | 28 |
| 15 |
Nacional
|
28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 25 |
| 16 |
Casa Pia
|
27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | -22 | 25 |
| 17 |
Tondela
|
27 | 4 | 8 | 15 | -25 | 20 |
| 18 |
AVS
|
28 | 1 | 8 | 19 | -43 | 11 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.