Challenge League Challenge League March 21, 2026
FC Aarau

FC Aarau

10
FT
Neuchatel Xamax FC

Neuchatel Xamax FC

We predicted

FC Aarau 4+ 38% confidence
View full match details Saturday, March 21 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted FC Aarau 4+
|
Actual 1–0

We predicted the correct result direction (home), though fewer than 4 goals were scored.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 38%
Team Context
FC Aarau
Rank#2
Played26
Points59
PPG2.27
Goal Diff20
W W W D L
Neuchatel Xamax FC
5#Rank
26Played
36Points
1.38PPG
0Goal Diff
W D D L W
Most Likely Scores
FC Aarau 4+
12.7%
1-1
10.0%
10.04
2-1
9.7%
10.29
1-0
7.9%
12.59
Both Teams To Score
YES 61% · 1.63
NO 39% · 2.58
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
FC Aarau 50% · 2.0
Draw 31% · 3.2
Neuchatel Xamax FC 19% · 5.34
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
62%
38%
Over 62% · 1.61 Under 38% · 2.63
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
83%
17%
Over 83% · 1.21 Under 17% · 5.84
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
40%
60%
Over 40% · 2.52 Under 60% · 1.66

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

FC Aarau FC Aarau
W W W D L
Neuchatel Xamax FC Neuchatel Xamax FC
W D D L W

Key Stats Comparison

FC Aarau
Stat
Neuchatel Xamax FC
1.95
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.26
#2
League Pos.
#5
59 pts
Points
36 pts
2.27
Points / Game
1.38
+20
Goal Diff.
+0

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
FC Vaduz FC Vaduz
28 20 5 3 +29 65
2
FC Aarau FC Aarau H
28 21 2 5 +22 65
3
Yverdon Sport Yverdon Sport
29 16 5 8 +22 53
4
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
28 11 6 11 +7 39
5
Neuchatel Xamax FC Neuchatel Xamax FC A
28 10 6 12 -3 36
6
FC WIL 1900 FC WIL 1900
28 7 9 12 -15 30
7
Étoile Carouge Étoile Carouge
28 7 8 13 -9 29
8
Rapperswil Rapperswil
28 9 2 17 -13 29
9
Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais
29 5 13 11 -10 28
10
Bellinzona Bellinzona
28 4 6 18 -30 18

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record