Primeira Liga Primeira Liga February 9, 2026
FC Porto

FC Porto

11
FT
Sporting CP

Sporting CP

We predicted

1-0 28% confidence
View full match details Monday, February 9 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 1–1

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

very_low confidence
Prediction Reliability 28%
Team Context
FC Porto
Rank#1
Played20
Points55
PPG2.75
Goal Diff35
L W W W W
Sporting CP
2#Rank
20Played
51Points
2.55PPG
43Goal Diff
W W W D W
Most Likely Scores
1-0
12.9%
7.78
1-1
12.3%
8.1
2-0
9.6%
10.42
2-1
9.2%
10.85
Both Teams To Score
YES 48% · 2.09
NO 52% · 1.92
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
FC Porto 50% · 2.02
Draw 26% · 3.83
Sporting CP 24% · 4.12
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
44%
56%
Over 44% · 2.25 Under 56% · 1.8
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
70%
30%
Over 70% · 1.42 Under 30% · 3.36
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
23%
77%
Over 23% · 4.32 Under 77% · 1.3

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

FC Porto FC Porto
L W W W W
Sporting CP Sporting CP
W W W D W

Key Stats Comparison

FC Porto
Stat
Sporting CP
1.49
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.96
#1
League Pos.
#2
55 pts
Points
51 pts
2.75
Points / Game
2.55
+35
Goal Diff.
+43

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
FC Porto FC Porto H
28 23 4 1 +43 73
2
Sporting CP Sporting CP A
27 21 5 1 +55 68
3
Benfica Benfica
27 19 8 0 +41 65
4
SC Braga SC Braga
27 14 7 6 +27 49
5
Famalicao Famalicao
28 13 7 8 +11 46
6
GIL Vicente GIL Vicente
28 12 9 7 +14 45
7
Estoril Estoril
27 10 7 10 +4 37
8
Guimaraes Guimaraes
28 10 5 13 -8 35
9
Moreirense Moreirense
28 10 5 13 -9 35
10
Alverca Alverca
28 8 8 12 -17 32
11
Rio Ave Rio Ave
28 7 9 12 -19 30
12
Arouca Arouca
27 8 5 14 -21 29
13
Santa Clara Santa Clara
28 7 7 14 -9 28
14
Estrela Estrela
28 6 10 12 -14 28
15
Nacional Nacional
28 6 7 15 -8 25
16
Casa Pia Casa Pia
26 5 9 12 -22 24
17
Tondela Tondela
27 4 8 15 -25 20
18
AVS AVS
28 1 8 19 -43 11

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record