Primeira Liga
April 19, 2026
FC Porto
19:30
VS
Tondela
Predicted score
2-0
48% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, April 19 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
48%
Team Context
FC Porto
Rank#1
Played25
Points66
PPG2.64
Goal Diff39
D
W
W
W
D
Tondela
17#Rank
25Played
19Points
0.76PPG
-20Goal Diff
L
D
W
D
D
Most Likely Scores
2-0
20.0%
5.0
1-0
18.2%
5.51
FC Porto 4+
17.5%
3-0
14.7%
6.8
Both Teams To Score
YES
23% · 4.34
NO
77% · 1.3
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
FC Porto
67% · 1.5
Draw
27% · 3.73
Tondela
6% · 15.8
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
45%
55%
Over 45% · 2.21
Under 55% · 1.83
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
71%
29%
Over 71% · 1.41
Under 29% · 3.47
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
24%
76%
Over 24% · 4.21
Under 76% · 1.31
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
FC Porto
D
W
W
W
D
Tondela
L
D
W
D
D
Key Stats Comparison
FC Porto
Stat
Tondela
2.2
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.3
#1
League Pos.
#17
66 pts
Points
19 pts
2.64
Points / Game
0.76
+39
Goal Diff.
-20
Head to Head
Full H2H record5 W
0 D
0 W
FC Porto
Draw
Tondela
16
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
FC Porto
H
|
28 | 23 | 4 | 1 | +43 | 73 |
| 2 |
Sporting CP
|
27 | 21 | 5 | 1 | +55 | 68 |
| 3 |
Benfica
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 | +41 | 65 |
| 4 |
SC Braga
|
27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | +27 | 49 |
| 5 |
Famalicao
|
28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | +11 | 46 |
| 6 |
GIL Vicente
|
28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | +14 | 45 |
| 7 |
Estoril
|
27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | +4 | 37 |
| 8 |
Guimaraes
|
28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 35 |
| 9 |
Moreirense
|
28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | -9 | 35 |
| 10 |
Alverca
|
28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | -17 | 32 |
| 11 |
Rio Ave
|
28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | -19 | 30 |
| 12 |
Arouca
|
27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | -21 | 29 |
| 13 |
Santa Clara
|
28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | -9 | 28 |
| 14 |
Estrela
|
28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | -14 | 28 |
| 15 |
Nacional
|
28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 25 |
| 16 |
Casa Pia
|
26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -22 | 24 |
| 17 |
Tondela
A
|
27 | 4 | 8 | 15 | -25 | 20 |
| 18 |
AVS
|
28 | 1 | 8 | 19 | -43 | 11 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.