Bundesliga Bundesliga April 17, 2026
FC St. Pauli

FC St. Pauli

18:30
VS
1. FC Köln

1. FC Köln

Predicted score

0-0 36% confidence
View full match details Friday, April 17 2026

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 36%
Team Context
FC St. Pauli
Rank#16
Played25
Points24
PPG0.96
Goal Diff-17
D W W L W
1. FC Köln
14#Rank
25Played
24Points
0.96PPG
-9Goal Diff
L L D L L
Most Likely Scores
0-0
13.9%
7.19
1-0
13.9%
7.22
0-1
13.6%
7.36
1-1
13.5%
7.39
Both Teams To Score
YES 39% · 2.54
NO 61% · 1.65
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
FC St. Pauli 35% · 2.86
Draw 33% · 3.06
1. FC Köln 32% · 3.09
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
32%
68%
Over 32% · 3.17 Under 68% · 1.46
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
59%
41%
Over 59% · 1.71 Under 41% · 2.42
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
86%
Over 14% · 7.25 Under 86% · 1.16

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli
D W W L W
1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln
L L D L L

Key Stats Comparison

FC St. Pauli
Stat
1. FC Köln
1.0
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.98
#16
League Pos.
#14
24 pts
Points
24 pts
0.96
Points / Game
0.96
-17
Goal Diff.
-9

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Bayern München Bayern München
28 23 4 1 +73 73
2
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
28 19 7 2 +32 64
3
RB Leipzig RB Leipzig
28 16 5 7 +19 53
4
VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart
28 16 5 7 +18 53
5
1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim
28 15 5 8 +14 50
6
Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen
28 14 7 7 +19 49
7
Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt
28 10 9 9 -1 39
8
SC Freiburg SC Freiburg
28 10 7 11 -6 37
9
FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05
28 8 9 11 -8 33
10
Union Berlin Union Berlin
28 8 8 12 -15 32
11
FC Augsburg FC Augsburg
28 9 5 14 -17 32
12
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV
28 7 10 11 -9 31
13
Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach
28 7 9 12 -13 30
14
Werder Bremen Werder Bremen
28 7 7 14 -18 28
15
1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln A
28 6 9 13 -9 27
16
FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli H
28 6 7 15 -20 25
17
VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg
28 5 6 17 -25 21
18
1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim
28 3 7 18 -34 16

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record