Bundesliga
May 16, 2026
FC St. Pauli
13:30
VS
VfL Wolfsburg
Predicted score
1-0
37% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, May 16 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
37%
Team Context
FC St. Pauli
Rank#16
Played25
Points24
PPG0.96
Goal Diff-17
D
W
W
L
W
VfL Wolfsburg
17#Rank
25Played
20Points
0.8PPG
-21Goal Diff
L
L
L
D
L
Most Likely Scores
1-0
14.7%
6.79
1-1
13.2%
7.59
0-0
12.1%
8.27
0-1
10.8%
9.25
Both Teams To Score
YES
42% · 2.4
NO
58% · 1.71
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
FC St. Pauli
44% · 2.27
Draw
36% · 2.81
VfL Wolfsburg
20% · 4.94
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
35%
65%
Over 35% · 2.83
Under 65% · 1.55
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
62%
38%
Over 62% · 1.6
Under 38% · 2.66
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
16%
84%
Over 16% · 6.11
Under 84% · 1.2
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
FC St. Pauli
D
W
W
L
W
VfL Wolfsburg
L
L
L
D
L
Key Stats Comparison
FC St. Pauli
Stat
VfL Wolfsburg
1.22
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.89
#16
League Pos.
#17
24 pts
Points
20 pts
0.96
Points / Game
0.8
-17
Goal Diff.
-21
Head to Head
Full H2H record0 W
4 D
1 W
FC St. Pauli
Draw
VfL Wolfsburg
11
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bayern München
|
28 | 23 | 4 | 1 | +73 | 73 |
| 2 |
Borussia Dortmund
|
28 | 18 | 8 | 2 | +30 | 62 |
| 3 |
VfB Stuttgart
|
28 | 16 | 6 | 6 | +20 | 54 |
| 4 |
RB Leipzig
|
28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | +19 | 53 |
| 5 |
1899 Hoffenheim
|
28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | +14 | 50 |
| 6 |
Bayer Leverkusen
|
28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | +19 | 49 |
| 7 |
Eintracht Frankfurt
|
27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 38 |
| 8 |
SC Freiburg
|
28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | -6 | 37 |
| 9 |
FSV Mainz 05
|
28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | -8 | 33 |
| 10 |
FC Augsburg
|
28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | -17 | 32 |
| 11 |
Hamburger SV
|
28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | -9 | 31 |
| 12 |
Union Berlin
|
27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | -15 | 31 |
| 13 |
Borussia Mönchengladbach
|
28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | -13 | 30 |
| 14 |
Werder Bremen
|
28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | -18 | 28 |
| 15 |
1. FC Köln
|
27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | -9 | 26 |
| 16 |
FC St. Pauli
H
|
27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -20 | 24 |
| 17 |
VfL Wolfsburg
A
|
28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | -25 | 21 |
| 18 |
1. FC Heidenheim
|
28 | 3 | 7 | 18 | -34 | 16 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.