1st Division 1st Division April 4, 2026
FK Kukesi

FK Kukesi

20
FT
Apolonia Fier

Apolonia Fier

We predicted

1-0 36% confidence
View full match details Saturday, April 4 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 2–0

We predicted the correct result direction (home win), though the exact score differed.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 36%
Team Context
FK Kukesi
Rank#10
Played28
Points24
PPG0.86
Goal Diff-17
W W D D D
Apolonia Fier
9#Rank
28Played
26Points
0.93PPG
-9Goal Diff
D D L L L
Most Likely Scores
1-0
13.6%
7.37
1-1
13.1%
7.65
0-0
10.5%
9.49
0-1
10.2%
9.85
Both Teams To Score
YES 45% · 2.23
NO 55% · 1.81
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
FK Kukesi 44% · 2.26
Draw 35% · 2.86
Apolonia Fier 21% · 4.83
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
39%
61%
Over 39% · 2.56 Under 61% · 1.64
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
66%
34%
Over 66% · 1.52 Under 34% · 2.92
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
19%
81%
Over 19% · 5.25 Under 81% · 1.24

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

FK Kukesi FK Kukesi
W W D D D
Apolonia Fier Apolonia Fier
D D L L L

Key Stats Comparison

FK Kukesi
Stat
Apolonia Fier
1.29
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.96
#10
League Pos.
#9
24 pts
Points
26 pts
0.86
Points / Game
0.93
-17
Goal Diff.
-9

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Skenderbeu Korce Skenderbeu Korce
29 22 4 3 +28 70
2
Laci Laci
29 20 7 2 +32 67
3
Pogradeci Pogradeci
29 19 7 3 +33 64
4
Iliria Fushë-Krujë Iliria Fushë-Krujë
29 9 11 9 -4 38
5
Kastrioti Krujë Kastrioti Krujë
29 10 6 13 -10 36
6
Burreli Burreli
29 8 9 12 -16 33
7
Korabi Peshkopi Korabi Peshkopi
29 8 8 13 -8 32
8
Besa Kavajë Besa Kavajë
28 8 7 13 -3 31
9
FK Kukesi FK Kukesi H
29 7 6 16 -15 27
10
Apolonia Fier Apolonia Fier A
29 6 8 15 -11 26
11
Lushnja Lushnja
29 5 10 14 -14 25
12
Luftëtari Luftëtari
28 3 13 12 -12 22

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record