Eredivisie Eredivisie February 20, 2026
Fortuna Sittard

Fortuna Sittard

21
FT
Excelsior

Excelsior

We predicted

1-1 25% confidence
View full match details Friday, February 20 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 2–1

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

very_low confidence
Prediction Reliability 25%
Team Context
Fortuna Sittard
Rank#11
Played23
Points26
PPG1.13
Goal Diff-8
L D L W L
Excelsior
12#Rank
23Played
26Points
1.13PPG
-14Goal Diff
L W D D D
Most Likely Scores
1-1
11.8%
8.49
1-0
9.0%
11.06
2-1
9.0%
11.16
0-1
7.8%
12.9
Both Teams To Score
YES 57% · 1.76
NO 43% · 2.32
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Fortuna Sittard 42% · 2.36
Draw 25% · 4.0
Excelsior 33% · 3.07
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
54%
46%
Over 54% · 1.87 Under 46% · 2.15
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
77%
23%
Over 77% · 1.29 Under 23% · 4.4
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
31%
69%
Over 31% · 3.2 Under 69% · 1.45

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard
L D L W L
Excelsior Excelsior
L W D D D

Key Stats Comparison

Fortuna Sittard
Stat
Excelsior
1.52
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.3
#11
League Pos.
#12
26 pts
Points
26 pts
1.13
Points / Game
1.13
-8
Goal Diff.
-14

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven
29 23 2 4 +42 71
2
Feyenoord Feyenoord
29 16 6 7 +21 54
3
NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen
29 15 8 6 +24 53
4
Twente Twente
29 13 11 5 +18 50
5
Ajax Ajax
29 12 12 5 +17 48
6
AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar
29 13 6 10 +4 45
7
Heerenveen Heerenveen
29 12 8 9 +6 44
8
Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam
29 12 6 11 -12 42
9
Utrecht Utrecht
29 11 8 10 +10 41
10
Groningen Groningen
29 12 5 12 +5 41
11
GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagles
29 8 11 10 +5 35
12
Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard H
29 10 5 14 -11 35
13
PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle
29 8 9 12 -20 33
14
FC Volendam FC Volendam
29 7 7 15 -18 28
15
Telstar Telstar
29 6 9 14 -10 27
16
Excelsior Excelsior A
29 7 6 16 -20 27
17
NAC Breda NAC Breda
29 5 9 15 -21 24
18
Heracles Heracles
29 5 4 20 -40 19

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record