Serie D - Girone F Serie D - Girone F March 29, 2026
Fossombrone

Fossombrone

10
FT
L'Aquila

L'Aquila

We predicted

1-1 36% confidence
View full match details Sunday, March 29 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 1–0

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 36%
Team Context
Fossombrone
Rank#9
Played28
Points37
PPG1.32
Goal Diff-3
D W D L L
L'Aquila
5#Rank
28Played
48Points
1.71PPG
13Goal Diff
L D L D W
Most Likely Scores
1-1
13.0%
7.68
0-1
10.8%
9.27
1-0
10.7%
9.36
0-0
8.9%
11.29
Both Teams To Score
YES 49% · 2.03
NO 51% · 1.97
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Fossombrone 26% · 3.91
Draw 35% · 2.9
L'Aquila 40% · 2.51
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
44%
56%
Over 44% · 2.29 Under 56% · 1.77
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
70%
30%
Over 70% · 1.44 Under 30% · 3.3
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
23%
77%
Over 23% · 4.42 Under 77% · 1.29

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Fossombrone Fossombrone
D W D L L
L'Aquila L'Aquila
L D L D W

Key Stats Comparison

Fossombrone
Stat
L'Aquila
1.21
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.22
#9
League Pos.
#5
37 pts
Points
48 pts
1.32
Points / Game
1.71
-3
Goal Diff.
+13

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record