Virsliga Virsliga April 4, 2026
FS Jelgava

FS Jelgava

08
FT
Riga

Riga

We predicted

1-1 37% confidence
View full match details Saturday, April 4 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 0–8

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 37%
Team Context
FS Jelgava
Rank#6
Played36
Points38
PPG1.06
Goal Diff-7
D D D D D
Riga
1#Rank
36Played
88Points
2.44PPG
59Goal Diff
L D D W W
Most Likely Scores
1-1
10.8%
9.25
1-2
9.0%
11.09
Riga 4+
8.3%
2-1
7.7%
12.99
Both Teams To Score
YES 62% · 1.62
NO 38% · 2.6
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
FS Jelgava 24% · 4.21
Draw 32% · 3.1
Riga 44% · 2.27
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
60%
40%
Over 60% · 1.68 Under 40% · 2.48
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
81%
19%
Over 81% · 1.23 Under 19% · 5.36
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
37%
63%
Over 37% · 2.69 Under 63% · 1.59

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

FS Jelgava FS Jelgava
D D D D D
Riga Riga
L D D W W

Key Stats Comparison

FS Jelgava
Stat
Riga
1.42
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.67
#6
League Pos.
#1
38 pts
Points
88 pts
1.06
Points / Game
2.44
-7
Goal Diff.
+59

Head to Head

Full H2H record
0 W
1 D
4 W
FS Jelgava
Draw
Riga
20 total goals
5 meetings

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record