Bundesliga
April 12, 2026
FSV Mainz 05
17:30
VS
SC Freiburg
Predicted score
1-0
36% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, April 12 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
36%
Team Context
FSV Mainz 05
Rank#15
Played25
Points24
PPG0.96
Goal Diff-12
D
D
D
L
W
SC Freiburg
8#Rank
25Played
34Points
1.36PPG
-5Goal Diff
D
L
W
L
W
Most Likely Scores
1-0
12.5%
8.03
1-1
11.6%
8.61
2-0
10.3%
9.69
2-1
9.6%
10.4
Both Teams To Score
YES
49% · 2.04
NO
51% · 1.96
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
FSV Mainz 05
37% · 2.73
Draw
33% · 3.06
SC Freiburg
31% · 3.26
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
48%
52%
Over 48% · 2.09
Under 52% · 1.92
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
73%
27%
Over 73% · 1.37
Under 27% · 3.71
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
26%
74%
Over 26% · 3.84
Under 74% · 1.35
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
FSV Mainz 05
D
D
D
L
W
SC Freiburg
D
L
W
L
W
Key Stats Comparison
FSV Mainz 05
Stat
SC Freiburg
1.66
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.93
#15
League Pos.
#8
24 pts
Points
34 pts
0.96
Points / Game
1.36
-12
Goal Diff.
-5
Head to Head
Full H2H record0 W
3 D
2 W
FSV Mainz 05
Draw
SC Freiburg
11
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bayern München
|
28 | 23 | 4 | 1 | +73 | 73 |
| 2 |
Borussia Dortmund
|
28 | 18 | 8 | 2 | +30 | 62 |
| 3 |
VfB Stuttgart
|
28 | 16 | 6 | 6 | +20 | 54 |
| 4 |
RB Leipzig
|
28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | +19 | 53 |
| 5 |
1899 Hoffenheim
|
28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | +14 | 50 |
| 6 |
Bayer Leverkusen
|
28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | +19 | 49 |
| 7 |
Eintracht Frankfurt
|
27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 38 |
| 8 |
SC Freiburg
A
|
28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | -6 | 37 |
| 9 |
FSV Mainz 05
H
|
28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | -8 | 33 |
| 10 |
FC Augsburg
|
28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | -17 | 32 |
| 11 |
Hamburger SV
|
28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | -9 | 31 |
| 12 |
Union Berlin
|
27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | -15 | 31 |
| 13 |
Borussia Mönchengladbach
|
28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | -13 | 30 |
| 14 |
Werder Bremen
|
28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | -18 | 28 |
| 15 |
1. FC Köln
|
27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | -9 | 26 |
| 16 |
FC St. Pauli
|
27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -20 | 24 |
| 17 |
VfL Wolfsburg
|
28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | -25 | 21 |
| 18 |
1. FC Heidenheim
|
28 | 3 | 7 | 18 | -34 | 16 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.